Redistricting Update: Four States Remain; Ohio and Wisconsin Added to Interactive Map

Congressional redistricting was completed last week in Ohio and Wisconsin. The 2022 House Interactive Map has been updated with shapes for the 23 total districts in these two states. 

This is the second plan enacted in Ohio; the first was thrown out by the State Supreme Court in January. The Court ruled that the map was a Republican gerrymander in violation of the state's Constitution. According to FiveThirtyEight, the new plan "is barely fairer than the map that was struck down." The Court may well invalidate this map as well.

house consensus forecast march 8, 2022

The Remaining States

90% of the 435 congressional districts are set, assuming none of the maps in litigation are invalidated. Four states, with 44 total districts, have not completed redistricting.  Florida's 28 districts account for almost 2/3 of the total.

State (Districts) Comments
Florida (28) The state is gaining a district. The GOP-controlled Legislature has passed an unusual plan that includes both 'primary' and 'secondary' maps. The major difference is in the treatment of District 5, a Black Opportunity district that stretches across much of the northern part of the state. Gov. Ron DeSantis wants this district made more compact, effectively eliminating the only Democratic-held district north of the Orlando area. The primary map somewhat accedes to this by consolidating the district around Jacksonville. However, it doesn't go as far as DeSantis wants; he has threatened a veto. The secondary map maintains the general shape of District 5 - although makes it slightly less 'blue'. It is intended as a replacement should the primary map be invalidated by the courts as a violation of the Voting Rights Act.
Louisiana (6) Gov. John Bel Edwards (D) has until March 14 to veto the map approved by the Republican-led Legislature. If he vetoes, a 2/3 vote in each chamber would be required to override. The new plan largely maintains the status quo including, notably, a single majority-Black district.  Democrats, including Edwards, favor the addition of a second majority-minority district given that Blacks now comprise about 33% of the state's population.
Missouri (8) The Missouri Senate has tabledmap, passed by the state House, that largely maintains the status quo 6-2 Republican edge. Some conservatives in the Senate have pushed for a more aggressive map that would 'crack' Kansas City. This would likely yield a 7-1 map, as that scenario would make it much more difficult for Democrat Emanuel Cleaver to hold his seat.
New Hampshire (2) The Republican-controlled state House approved a map that would make District 1 more favorable for the party. On March 7, a Senate committee approved the plan, making no changes. If the full Senate votes in favor, it will head to GOP Gov. Chris Sununu's desk. He had previously asked the Senate to modify the House map to make both districts more competitive. However, he has not threatened a veto if they did not.
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