Overview and Live Results: Florida, Alaska, and Wyoming primaries
By 270toWin Staff
August 20, 2024, 9:52 AM ET
It's primary Tuesday in Florida, the nation's third most populous state. Voters will also go to the polls in two of the three least-populated states: Alaska and Wyoming.
Alaska has a unique system where all candidates appear on a single ballot and the top four finishers advance. The general election is then decided by ranked choice voting.
Use the links below for full results. Displayed are the poll closings converted to Eastern Time.
Alaska - 12:00 AM* | Florida - 7:00/8:00 PM+ | Wyoming - 9:00 PM |
* A small part of the state (<1%) closes at 1:00 AM Eastern. | + 7:00 PM local time; portions of the Panhandle observe Central Time.
On this page, we'll highlight some of the key races to watch, organized by office.
U.S. Senate
Florida and Wyoming have Senate elections this year.
Florida
Republican Sen. Rick Scott is seeking a second term. He is expected to win renomination.
There are four candidates vying for the Democratic nomination. The frontrunner is former Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (FL-26).
It is a difficult Senate map for Democrats this year. The party is all but certain to lose West Virginia with the retirement of Joe Manchin. If there are no other incumbent party losses, and Donald Trump wins the election, Republicans will gain control of the chamber.
Even if Trump loses, Democrats need to run the table to hold competitive seats in Arizona, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin. That is, unless they can gain a seat.
Florida and Texas are the only realistic Democratic pick-ups and both are considered long-shots at this point. That said - and bringing it back to Florida - Scott is unpopular and only led by four in the two most recent polls. Additionally, the presidential race has tightened in the state since Harris replaced Biden at the top of the ticket.
Wyoming
Republican Sen. John Barrasso is seeking a third term, which he should have no trouble securing in one of the deepest of red states. He faces minor primary challengers. Scott Morrow is unopposed for the Democratic nomination.
U.S. House
Alaska At-Large
Democrat Mary Peltola flipped this seat in a 2022 special election held after the death of Republican Don Young. She won the regular election in November of that year, and is now seeking a second full term.
Peltola benefited from the top four primary as well as ranked choice voting in the general election. Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III advanced to the general election, where they split the GOP vote.
This year, there are twelve candidates on the ballot. Peltola, Begich, and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (R) are expected to advance, along with whoever finishes in fourth place.
To avoid a repeat of 2022, Begich has said he would end his campaign if he finished third. However, Dahlstrom has not taken a similar pledge.
Florida
Redistricting after the 2020 Census largely eliminated highly competitive general election districts in Florida. All but one incumbent is seeking reelection.
District 1 (Republican)
This district is in the Central Time Zone; results available after 8:00 PM Eastern.
Republican Rep. Matt Gaetz is seeking a 5th term in this deep-red Panhandle district. Gaetz led the successful charge to oust former Speaker Kevin McCarthy. A PAC connected to McCarthy is attempting to return the favor. They've spent millions in support of Navy veteran Aaron Dimmock.
Despite this effort, and ongoing ethical issues, the incumbent is likely to prevail.
District 8 (Republican)
Republican Bill Posey is retiring. His decision came on the final day of filing, all but ensuring his hand-picked successor, former state Sen. president Mike Haridopolos would face little competition for the nomination. This is a safely Republican district - Posey won his last term by 30% - so Haridopolos will almost certainly be the next representative.
District 13 (Democratic)
Freshman Republican Anna Paulina Luna is seeking reelection; she is unopposed for the nomination. Five Democrats are on the ballot looking to challenge her. The frontrunner appears to be Whitney Fox, who is the communications director at the Pinellas Suncoast Transit Authority.
Luna won by 8% in 2022. Now with the power of incumbency, most forecasters rate the general election as Likely Republican.
District 15 (Republican)
Rep. Laurel Lee is seeking a second term, which she is likely to win in this Republican-leaning district. We're listing the primary here only because of an odd backstory. Last March, Donald Trump called for someone to challenge Lee. The former president did not explicitly specify a reason, although Lee had endorsed Gov. Ron DeSantis in the presidential race.
After no major candidate entered the race, Trump eventually came around and endorsed the incumbent.
District 23 (Republican)
Democrat Jared Moskowitz is seeking a second term. He is unopposed for renomination. Six Republicans are vying to challenge him. Despite Moskowitz's surprisingly narrow win (5%) in 2022, most forecasters see the general election as Likely or Safe Democratic.
District 27 (Democratic)
Republican Maria Elvira Salazar is seeking a third term. This district has moved to the right: Salazar flipped it by three percent in 2020 and won reelection by 15 percent in 2022.
Like District 23, it is on the far edge of the competitive map; most forecasters see it as Likely or Safe Republican.
Two Democrats are vying to take on the incumbent.
Upcoming Elections and Events
- August 27
- Oklahoma Primary Runoffs
- September 3
- Massachusetts Primary
- September 10
- Presidential Debate (ABC)
- Delaware Primary
- New Hampshire Primary
- Rhode Island Primary
- September 17
- Pennsylvania State House Districts 195 and 201 Special Election
- September 18
- New Jersey U.S. House District 10 Special Election
- October 1
- Vice-Presidential Debate (CBS)
- November 5
- 2024 Presidential Election
- 2024 General Election