UPCOMING

2018 House Elections: Consensus Forecast

Final Consensus Map: November 5, 2018
A consensus outlook for the 2018 House elections based on the current ratings of Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections. For purposes of this map, only congressional districts rated safe by all three of these forecasters are shown in the darkest shade.

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House Elections 2018
Current 197 236 0 2*
Pro 210 197 0 28
Forecast

Pro: 2018 Consensus Forecast
Forecast: Totals on interactive map
* Vacant Seat(s)

District Incumbent Party Since Term Predictions Margin of Victory
Pro Map House(a) President(b)
AK-AL Don Young
1973 23rd
14.3% 15.2%
AR-2 French Hill
2015 2nd
21.5% 10.7%
AZ-1 Tom O'Halleran
2017 1st
7.3% 1.1%
AZ-2 Martha McSally
2015 2nd
13.9% 4.9%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
AZ-6 David Schweikert
2011 4th
24.3% 10.0%
AZ-8 Debbie Lesko
2018 1st
37.1% 21.1%
CA-1 Doug LaMalfa
2013 3rd
18.1% 19.7%
CA-4 Tom McClintock
2009 5th
25.4% 14.7%
CA-7 Ami Bera
2013 3rd
2.3% 11.4%
CA-10 Jeff Denham
2011 4th
3.4% 3.0%
CA-16 Jim Costa
2013 3rd
16.1% 21.6%
CA-21 David Valadao
2013 3rd
13.5% 15.5%
CA-22 Devin Nunes
2003 8th
35.1% 9.5%
CA-24 Salud Carbajal
2017 1st
6.8% 20.2%
CA-25 Steve Knight
2015 2nd
6.3% 6.7%
CA-39 Edward Royce
1993 13th
14.5% 8.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
CA-45 Mimi Walters
2015 2nd
17.1% 5.4%
CA-48 Dana Rohrabacher
1989 15th
16.6% 1.7%
CA-49 Darrell Issa
2001 9th
0.5% 7.5%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
CA-50 Duncan Hunter
2009 5th
26.9% 15.0%
CO-3 Scott Tipton
2011 4th
14.3% 12.0%
CO-6 Mike Coffman
2009 5th
8.3% 8.9%
FL-6 OPEN
17.1% 17.0%
FL-7 Stephanie Murphy
2017 1st
3.0% 7.3%
FL-15 Dennis Ross
2011 4th
14.9% 10.0%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
FL-16 Vern Buchanan
2007 6th
19.5% 10.7%
FL-18 Brian Mast
2017 1st
10.5% 9.2%
FL-25 Mario Diaz-Balart
2003 8th
24.7% 1.8%
FL-26 Carlos Curbelo
2015 2nd
11.8% 16.3%
FL-27 Ileana Ros-Lehtinen
1989 15th
9.8% 19.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
GA-6 Karen Handel
2017 1st
23.4% 1.5%
GA-7 Rob Woodall
2011 4th
20.8% 6.3%
IA-1 Rod Blum
2015 2nd
7.7% 3.5%
IA-3 David Young
2015 2nd
13.7% 3.5%
IA-4 Steve King
2003 8th
22.6% 27.4%
IL-6 Peter Roskam
2007 6th
18.4% 7.0%
IL-12 Mike Bost
2015 2nd
14.6% 14.8%
IL-13 Rodney Davis
2013 3rd
19.3% 5.5%
IL-14 Randy Hultgren
2011 4th
18.6% 3.9%
IN-2 Jackie Walorski
2013 3rd
22.3% 23.2%
IN-9 Trey Hollingsworth
2017 1st
13.7% 26.9%
KS-2 Lynn Jenkins
2009 5th
28.4% 18.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
KS-3 Kevin Yoder
2011 4th
10.7% 1.2%
KY-6 Andy Barr
2013 3rd
22.2% 15.3%
ME-2 Bruce Poliquin
2015 2nd
9.6% 10.3%
MI-1 Jack Bergman
2017 1st
14.8% 21.3%
MI-2 Bill Huizenga
2011 4th
30.1% 17.6%
MI-3 Justin Amash
2011 4th
21.9% 9.4%
MI-6 Fred Upton
1987 16th
22.2% 8.4%
MI-7 Tim Walberg
2011 4th
15.0% 17.0%
MI-8 Mike Bishop
2015 2nd
16.9% 6.7%
MI-11 Dave Trott
2015 2nd
12.8% 4.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MN-1 Timothy Walz
2007 6th
0.8% 14.9%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MN-2 Jason Lewis
2017 1st
1.8% 1.2%
MN-3 Erik Paulsen
2009 5th
13.7% 9.4%
MN-7 Collin Peterson
1991 14th
5.0% 30.8%
MN-8 Rick Nolan
2013 3rd
0.6% 15.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MO-2 Ann Wagner
2013 3rd
20.9% 10.3%
MT-AL Greg Gianforte
2017 1st
15.6% 20.6%
NC-2 George Holding
2013 3rd
13.4% 9.6%
NC-8 Richard Hudson
2013 3rd
17.5% 15.0%
NC-9 Robert Pittenger
2013 3rd
16.4% 11.6%
Incumbent defeated in primary for 2018 election.
NC-13 Ted Budd
2017 1st
12.2% 9.4%
NE-2 Don Bacon
2017 1st
1.2% 2.2%
NH-1 Carol-Shea Porter
2017 1st
1.3% 1.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NJ-2 Frank LoBiondo
1995 12th
22.0% 4.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NJ-3 Tom MacArthur
2015 2nd
20.4% 6.2%
NJ-5 Josh Gottheimer
2017 1st
4.4% 1.0%
NJ-7 Leonard Lance
2009 5th
11.0% 1.1%
NJ-11 Rodney Frelinghuysen
1995 12th
19.1% 0.8%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NM-2 Steve Pearce
2011 4th
25.5% 10.2%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NV-3 Jacky Rosen
2017 1st
1.3% 1.0%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NV-4 Ruben Kihuen
2017 1st
4.0% 4.9%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NY-1 Lee Zeldin
2015 2nd
17.9% 12.3%
NY-2 Peter King
1993 13th
24.9% 9.1%
NY-11 Daniel Donovan
2015 2nd
24.9% 9.8%
NY-18 Sean P. Maloney
2013 3rd
11.2% 1.9%
NY-19 John Faso
2017 1st
8.6% 6.8%
NY-21 Elise Stefanik
2015 2nd
35.1% 13.9%
NY-22 Claudia Tenney
2017 1st
5.5% 15.5%
NY-23 Tom Reed
2010 5th
15.2% 14.8%
NY-24 John Katko
2015 2nd
21.1% 3.6%
NY-27 Chris Collins
2013 3rd
34.4% 24.5%
OH-1 Steve Chabot
2011 4th
18.4% 6.6%
OH-7 Bob Gibbs
2011 4th
35.1% 29.7%
OH-10 Michael Turner
2003 8th
31.4% 7.3%
OH-12 Troy Balderson
2018 1st
36.7% 11.3%
OH-14 David Joyce
2013 3rd
25.2% 11.5%
OH-15 Steve Stivers
2011 4th
32.3% 15.4%
OK-5 Steve Russell
2015 2nd
20.3% 13.4%
PA-1 Brian Fitzpatrick
2017 1st
N/A 2.0%
Redrawn PA-1 is mostly current PA-8 (Fitzpatrick)
PA-5 Mary Gay Scanlon
2018 1st
N/A 28.2%
Redrawn PA-5 is about 50% current PA-7, vacated by Meehan. Scanlon won special election in PA-7
PA-6 Ryan Costello
2015 2nd
N/A 9.3%
Redrawn PA-6 is about 50% current PA-6 (Costello, retiring)
PA-7 Susan Wild
2018 1st
N/A 1.1%
Redrawn PA-7 is mostly current PA-15 vacated by Dent. Wild won special election in PA-15
PA-8 Matthew Cartwright
2013 3rd
N/A 9.5%
Redrawn PA-8 is about 50% current PA-17 (Cartwright)
PA-10 Scott Perry
2013 3rd
N/A 8.9%
Redrawn PA-10 is about 60% current PA-4 (Perry), 30% current PA-11 (Barletta, running for Senate)
PA-14 Conor Lamb
2018 1st
N/A 29.0%
Redrawn PA-14 is majority current PA-18. Lamb running for re-election in PA-17
PA-16 Mike Kelly
2011 4th
N/A 19.9%
Redrawn PA-16 is mostly current PA-3 (Kelly)
PA-17 Keith Rothfus
2013 3rd
N/A 2.5%
Redrawn PA-17 is majority current PA-12 (Rothfus); Conor Lamb (current PA-18) running vs. Rothfus
SC-1 Mark Sanford
2013 3rd
21.7% 13.1%
Incumbent defeated in primary for 2018 election.
TX-2 Ted Poe
2005 7th
24.6% 9.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-6 Joe Barton
1985 17th
19.3% 12.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-7 John Culberson
2001 9th
12.3% 1.4%
TX-10 Michael McCaul
2005 7th
18.9% 9.0%
TX-21 Lamar Smith
1987 16th
20.6% 10.0%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-22 Pete Olson
2009 5th
19.0% 7.9%
TX-23 Will Hurd
2015 2nd
1.3% 3.4%
TX-24 Kenny Marchant
2005 7th
16.9% 6.2%
TX-31 John Carter
2003 8th
21.9% 12.7%
TX-32 Pete Sessions
1997 11th
52.1% 1.9%
UT-4 Mia Love
2015 2nd
12.5% 6.7%
VA-2 Scott Taylor
2017 1st
22.9% 3.4%
VA-5 Tom Garrett
2017 1st
16.7% 11.1%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
VA-7 Dave Brat
2014 3rd
15.3% 6.5%
VA-10 Barbara Comstock
2015 2nd
5.8% 10.0%
WA-3 Jaime Herrera Beutler
2011 4th
23.5% 7.4%
WA-5 Cathy McMorris Rodgers
2005 7th
19.3% 13.1%
WA-8 Dave Reichert
2005 7th
20.4% 3.0%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
WI-1 Paul Ryan
1999 10th
34.8% 10.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
WI-6 Glenn Grothman
2015 2nd
19.9% 16.9%
WV-2 Alex Mooney
2015 2nd
16.4% 36.4%
WV-3 OPEN
43.9% 49.2%
AL-1 Bradley Byrne
2014 3rd
* 29.4%
AL-2 Martha Roby
2011 4th
8.2% 31.9%
AL-3 Mike Rogers
2003 8th
34.0% 33.0%
AL-4 Robert Aderholt
1997 11th
* 63.0%
AL-5 Mo Brooks
2011 4th
33.5% 33.4%
AL-6 Gary Palmer
2015 2nd
49.1% 44.7%
AL-7 Terri Sewell
2011 4th
* 41.2%
AR-1 Rick Crawford
2011 4th
52.6% 34.8%
AR-3 Steve Womack
2011 4th
54.6% 31.4%
AR-4 Bruce Westerman
2015 2nd
49.8% 32.9%
AZ-3 Raul Grijalva
2003 8th
* 29.9%
AZ-4 Paul Gosar
2011 4th
42.9% 40.2%
AZ-5 Andy Biggs
2017 1st
28.2% 21.1%
AZ-7 Ruben Gallego
2015 2nd
50.5% 49.2%
AZ-9 Kyrsten Sinema
2013 3rd
21.9% 16.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
CA-2 Jared Huffman
2013 3rd
53.7% 45.7%
CA-3 John Garamendi
2009 5th
18.7% 12.6%
CA-5 Mike Thompson
1999 10th
53.7% 44.9%
CA-6 Doris Matsui
2005 7th
50.9% 44.8%
CA-8 Paul Cook
2013 3rd
24.5% 15.1%
CA-9 Jerry McNerney
2007 6th
14.7% 18.6%
CA-11 Mark DeSaulnier
2015 2nd
44.1% 48.8%
CA-12 Nancy Pelosi
1987 16th
61.7% 77.5%
CA-13 Barbara Lee
1998 11th
81.6% 80.6%
CA-14 Jackie Speier
2008 6th
61.7% 58.7%
CA-15 Eric Swalwell
2013 3rd
47.5% 45.7%
CA-17 Ro Khanna
2017 1st
22.0% ^ 53.4%
CA-18 Anna Eshoo
1993 13th
42.3% 53.2%
CA-19 Zoe Lofgren
1995 12th
47.9% 51.4%
CA-20 Jimmy Panetta
2017 1st
41.5% 47.2%
CA-23 Kevin McCarthy
2007 6th
38.4% 22.0%
CA-26 Julia Brownley
2013 3rd
20.8% 21.9%
CA-27 Judy Chu
2009 5th
34.8% 37.6%
CA-28 Adam Schiff
2001 9th
56.0% 49.8%
CA-29 Tony Cardenas
2013 3rd
49.5% ^ 60.9%
CA-30 Brad Sherman
1997 11th
45.3% 43.4%
CA-31 Pete Aguilar
2015 2nd
12.1% 21.1%
CA-32 Grace Napolitano
1999 10th
23.1% ^ 38.9%
CA-33 Ted Lieu
2015 2nd
32.9% 41.3%
CA-34 Jimmy Gomez
2017 1st
54.4% 72.9%
CA-35 Norma Torres
2015 2nd
44.8% 40.8%
CA-36 Raul Ruiz
2013 3rd
24.1% 8.8%
CA-37 Karen Bass
2011 4th
62.3% ^ 76.1%
CA-38 Linda Sanchez
2003 8th
41.0% 39.6%
CA-40 Lucille Roybal-Allard
1993 13th
62.3% 69.4%
CA-41 Mark Takano
2013 3rd
29.9% 27.9%
CA-42 Ken Calvert
1993 13th
17.6% 12.0%
CA-43 Maxine Waters
1991 14th
52.2% 61.7%
CA-44 Nanette Barragan
2017 1st
4.4% ^ 70.7%
CA-46 Lou Correa
2017 1st
40.0% ^ 38.4%
CA-47 Alan Lowenthal
2013 3rd
27.4% 31.6%
CA-51 Juan Vargas
2013 3rd
45.5% 49.0%
CA-52 Scott Peters
2013 3rd
13.1% 22.5%
CA-53 Susan Davis
2001 9th
34.0% 34.9%
CO-1 Diana DeGette
1997 11th
40.2% 45.8%
CO-2 Jared Polis
2009 5th
19.7% 21.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
CO-4 Ken Buck
2015 2nd
31.9% 23.1%
CO-5 Doug Lamborn
2007 6th
31.4% 24.0%
CO-7 Ed Perlmutter
2007 6th
15.4% 12.0%
CT-1 John Larson
1999 10th
30.4% 23.1%
CT-2 Joe Courtney
2007 6th
29.6% 2.9%
CT-3 Rosa DeLauro
1991 14th
38.1% 15.5%
CT-4 James Himes
2009 5th
19.8% 23.0%
CT-5 Elizabeth Esty
2013 3rd
16.0% 4.1%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
DE-AL Lisa Rochester
2017 1st
14.6% 11.5%
FL-1 Matt Gaetz
2017 1st
38.2% 39.3%
FL-2 Neal Dunn
2017 1st
37.4% 35.6%
FL-3 Ted Yoho
2013 3rd
16.8% 16.0%
FL-4 John Rutherford
2017 1st
42.6% 28.0%
FL-5 Al Lawson
2017 1st
28.5% 25.4%
FL-8 Bill Posey
2009 5th
30.6% 20.7%
FL-9 Darren Soto
2017 1st
15.0% 12.9%
FL-10 Val Demings
2017 1st
29.7% 26.9%
FL-11 Dan Webster
2017 1st
33.8% 32.3%
FL-12 Gus Bilirakis
2007 6th
37.2% 18.6%
FL-13 Charlie Crist
2017 1st
3.8% 3.2%
FL-14 Kathy Castor
2007 6th
23.6% 18.2%
FL-17 Thomas Rooney
2009 5th
27.6% 27.2%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
FL-19 Francis Rooney
2017 1st
31.8% 22.1%
FL-20 Alcee Hastings
1993 13th
60.6% 62.1%
FL-21 Lois Frankel
2013 3rd
17.9% 15.8%
FL-22 Ted Deutch
2010 5th
27.6% 19.5%
FL-23 Debbie Wasserman Schultz
2005 7th
16.2% 26.1%
FL-24 Frederica Wilson
2011 4th
* 67.5%
GA-1 Buddy Carter
2015 2nd
* 15.5%
GA-2 Sanford D. Jr. Bishop
1993 13th
22.5% 11.7%
GA-3 Drew Ferguson
2017 1st
36.7% 31.5%
GA-4 Henry C. 'Hank' Jr. Johnson
2007 6th
51.4% 53.1%
GA-5 John Lewis
1987 16th
68.9% 73.1%
GA-8 Austin Scott
2011 4th
35.3% 28.9%
GA-9 Doug Collins
2013 3rd
* 58.5%
GA-10 Jody Hice
2015 2nd
* 25.5%
GA-11 Barry Loudermilk
2015 2nd
34.8% 25.0%
GA-12 Rick Allen
2015 2nd
23.2% 16.2%
GA-13 David Scott
2003 8th
* 44.4%
GA-14 Tom Graves
2010 5th
* 52.9%
HI-1 Colleen Hanabusa
2016 2nd
49.2% 32.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
HI-2 Tulsi Gabbard
2013 3rd
62.3% 31.8%
IA-2 David Loebsack
2007 6th
7.5% 4.1%
ID-1 Raul Labrador
2011 4th
36.4% 38.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
ID-2 Michael Simpson
1999 10th
33.5% 24.7%
IL-1 Bobby Rush
1993 13th
48.2% 54.0%
IL-2 Robin Kelly
2013 3rd
59.6% 58.9%
IL-3 Daniel Lipinski
2005 7th
* 15.3%
IL-4 Luis Gutierrez
1993 13th
* 68.9%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
IL-5 Mike Quigley
2009 5th
40.4% 46.6%
IL-7 Danny Davis
1997 11th
68.5% 78.2%
IL-8 Raja Krishnamoorthi
2017 1st
16.6% 21.7%
IL-9 Janice Schakowsky
1999 10th
33.0% 45.2%
IL-10 Brad Schneider
2017 1st
5.2% 29.4%
IL-11 Bill Foster
2013 3rd
20.9% 23.5%
IL-15 John Shimkus
1997 11th
* 46.2%
IL-16 Adam Kinzinger
2011 4th
* 17.2%
IL-17 Cheri Bustos
2013 3rd
20.6% 0.6%
IL-18 Darin LaHood
2015 2nd
44.3% 27.3%
IN-1 Peter Visclosky
1985 17th
63.0% 12.6%
IN-3 Jim Banks
2017 1st
47.1% 35.0%
IN-4 Todd Rokita
2011 4th
34.1% 34.1%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
IN-5 Susan Brooks
2013 3rd
27.2% 11.8%
IN-6 Luke Messer
2013 3rd
42.4% 40.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
IN-7 Andre Carson
2008 6th
24.3% 22.8%
IN-8 Larry Bucshon
2011 4th
32.0% 33.7%
KS-1 Roger Marshall
2017 1st
39.6% 45.0%
KS-4 Ron Estes
2017 1st
31.1% 27.2%
KY-1 James Comer
2016 2nd
45.2% 48.5%
KY-2 Brett Guthrie
2009 5th
* 39.9%
KY-3 John Yarmuth
2007 6th
27.0% 15.0%
KY-4 Thomas Massie
2012 4th
42.6% 35.9%
KY-5 Harold Rogers
1981 19th
* 62.1%
LA-1 Steve Scalise
2008 6th
61.8% 42.0%
LA-2 Cedric Richmond
2011 4th
49.7% ^ 52.4%
LA-3 Clay Higgins
2017 1st
12.2% ^ 38.1%
LA-4 Mike Johnson
2017 1st
30.5% 24.0%
LA-5 Ralph Abraham
2015 2nd
63.1% ^ 29.4%
LA-6 Garret Graves
2015 2nd
47.8% 33.8%
MA-1 Richard Neal
1989 15th
55.5% 20.7%
MA-2 James McGovern
1997 11th
* 19.4%
MA-3 Niki Tsongas
2007 6th
37.5% 22.8%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MA-4 Joseph Kennedy III
2013 3rd
40.3% 24.2%
MA-5 Katherine Clark
2013 3rd
* 43.6%
MA-6 Seth Moulton
2015 2nd
* 17.9%
MA-7 Michael Capuano
1999 10th
* 72.2%
Incumbent defeated in primary for 2018 election.
MA-8 Stephen Lynch
2001 9th
45.0% 26.0%
MA-9 William Keating
2011 4th
22.1% 10.7%
MD-1 Andrew Harris
2011 4th
38.4% 28.6%
MD-2 C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger
2003 8th
29.0% 24.4%
MD-3 John Sarbanes
2007 6th
29.3% 30.5%
MD-4 Anthony Brown
2017 1st
52.7% 57.5%
MD-5 Steny Hoyer
1981 19th
38.0% 32.0%
MD-6 John Delaney
2013 3rd
15.9% 15.1%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MD-7 Elijah Cummings
1996 12th
53.1% 55.6%
MD-8 Jamie Raskin
2017 1st
26.4% 34.4%
ME-1 Chellie Pingree
2009 5th
16.0% 14.8%
MI-4 John Moolenaar
2015 2nd
29.5% 24.8%
MI-5 Daniel Kildee
2013 3rd
26.1% 4.2%
MI-9 Sander Levin
1983 18th
20.5% 7.8%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MI-10 Paul Mitchell
2017 1st
30.8% 32.2%
MI-12 Debbie Dingell
2015 2nd
35.1% 26.3%
MI-13 Brenda Jones
2018 1st
61.4% 60.7%
MI-14 Brenda Lawrence
2015 2nd
59.8% 60.9%
MN-4 Betty McCollum
2001 9th
23.4% 30.9%
MN-5 Keith Ellison
2007 6th
46.8% 55.2%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MN-6 Tom Emmer
2015 2nd
31.3% 25.7%
MO-1 William "Lacy" Clay Jr.
2001 9th
55.5% 58.2%
MO-3 Blaine Luetkemeyer
2009 5th
39.9% 39.0%
MO-4 Vicky Hartzler
2011 4th
40.0% 36.0%
MO-5 Emanuel Cleaver
2005 7th
20.7% 13.5%
MO-6 Sam Graves
2001 9th
39.6% 31.4%
MO-7 Billy Long
2011 4th
40.1% 45.7%
MO-8 Jason Smith
2013 3rd
51.7% 54.4%
MS-1 Trent Kelly
2015 2nd
40.8% 33.0%
MS-2 Bennie Thompson
1993 13th
38.0% 28.5%
MS-3 Gregg Harper
2009 5th
35.8% 24.5%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MS-4 Steven Palazzo
2011 4th
37.2% 41.2%
NC-1 G. K. Butterfield
2004 8th
39.7% 37.0%
NC-3 Walter Jones
1995 12th
34.4% 23.6%
NC-4 David Price
1997 11th
36.4% 40.0%
NC-5 Virginia Foxx
2005 7th
16.8% 17.6%
NC-6 Mark Walker
2015 2nd
18.5% 14.7%
NC-7 David Rouzer
2015 2nd
21.8% 17.7%
NC-10 Patrick McHenry
2005 7th
26.3% 24.6%
NC-11 Mark Meadows
2013 3rd
28.2% 29.2%
NC-12 Alma Adams
2014 3rd
34.0% 40.0%
ND-AL Kevin Cramer
2013 3rd
45.4% 36.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NE-1 Jeff Fortenberry
2005 7th
38.9% 21.3%
NE-3 Adrian Smith
2007 6th
* 54.9%
NH-2 Ann Kuster
2013 3rd
4.4% 2.4%
NJ-1 Donald Norcross
2014 3rd
23.2% 24.5%
NJ-4 Christopher Smith
1981 19th
30.2% 14.8%
NJ-6 Frank Pallone
1988 16th
28.8% 15.6%
NJ-8 Albio Sires
2006 7th
58.5% 54.2%
NJ-9 Bill Jr. Pascrell
1997 11th
41.7% 31.2%
NJ-10 Donald Payne Jr.
2012 4th
73.8% 72.4%
NJ-12 Bonnie Coleman
2015 2nd
30.8% 33.2%
NM-1 Michelle Lujan Grisham
2013 3rd
30.3% 16.5%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NM-3 Ben Ray Lujan
2009 5th
24.8% 15.1%
NV-1 Dina Titus
2013 3rd
33.1% 29.0%
NV-2 Marc Amodei
2011 4th
21.4% 12.3%
NY-3 Thomas Suozzi
2017 1st
5.6% 6.1%
NY-4 Kathleen Rice
2015 2nd
19.1% 9.6%
NY-5 Gregory Meeks
1998 11th
72.5% 73.0%
NY-6 Grace Meng
2013 3rd
45.4% 33.0%
NY-7 Nydia Velazquez
1993 13th
81.6% 76.5%
NY-8 Hakeem Jeffries
2013 3rd
86.6% 71.1%
NY-9 Yvette Clarke
2007 6th
84.8% 69.1%
NY-10 Jerrold Nadler
1992 14th
56.2% 59.5%
NY-12 Carolyn Maloney
1993 13th
66.4% 69.8%
NY-13 Adriano Espaillat
2017 1st
81.9% 86.9%
NY-14 Joseph Crowley
1999 10th
65.7% 57.9%
Incumbent defeated in primary for 2018 election.
NY-15 Jose Serrano
1990 15th
91.7% 88.9%
NY-16 Eliot Engel
1989 15th
89.3% 52.6%
NY-17 Nita Lowey
1989 15th
* 20.2%
NY-20 Paul Tonko
2009 5th
35.8% 13.5%
NY-25 Joe Morelle
2018 1st
12.4% 16.4%
NY-26 Brian Higgins
2005 7th
49.2% 19.6%
OH-2 Brad Wenstrup
2013 3rd
32.2% 16.1%
OH-3 Joyce Beatty
2013 3rd
37.1% 38.4%
OH-4 Jim Jordan
2007 6th
36.0% 33.6%
OH-5 Robert Latta
2007 6th
41.8% 25.1%
OH-6 Bill Johnson
2011 4th
41.4% 42.6%
OH-8 Warren Davidson
2016 2nd
41.8% 34.5%
OH-9 Marcy Kaptur
1983 18th
37.4% 22.2%
OH-11 Marcia Fudge
2008 6th
60.5% 63.5%
OH-13 Tim Ryan
2003 8th
35.5% 6.5%
OH-16 Jim Renacci
2011 4th
30.7% 16.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
OK-1 Kevin Hern
2018 1st
* 28.7%
OK-2 Markwayne Mullin
2013 3rd
47.4% 50.1%
OK-3 Frank Lucas
1994 13th
56.6% 52.7%
OK-4 Tom Cole
2003 8th
43.5% 37.4%
OR-1 Suzanne Bonamici
2012 4th
22.6% 22.8%
OR-2 Greg Walden
1999 10th
43.7% 20.1%
OR-3 Earl Blumenauer
1996 12th
51.4% 48.2%
OR-4 Peter DeFazio
1987 16th
15.8% 0.1%
OR-5 Kurt Schrader
2009 5th
10.5% 4.2%
PA-2 Brendan Boyle
2015 2nd
N/A 48.0%
Redrawn PA-2 is about 50% current PA-13 (Boyle), 40% current PA-1 (Brady, retiring)
PA-3 Dwight Evans
2016 2nd
N/A 83.9%
Redrawn PA-3 is mostly current PA-2 (Evans)
PA-4 (OPEN) Safe Democratic
N/A 19.4%
Redrawn PA-4 is split between several districts. No incumbent running for this safe Democratic seat
PA-9 (OPEN) Safe Republican
N/A 34.0%
Redrawn PA-9 is split between several districts. No incumbent running for this safe Republican seat.
PA-11 Lloyd Smucker
2017 1st
N/A 25.8%
Redrawn PA-11 is majority current PA-16 (Smucker)
PA-12 Tom Marino
2011 4th
N/A 36.5%
Redrawn PA-12 is majority current PA-10 (Marino)
PA-13 Bill Shuster
2001 9th
N/A 45.5%
Redrawn PA-13 is about 50% current PA-9 (Shuster, retiring)
PA-15 Glenn Thompson
2009 5th
N/A 43.4%
Redrawn PA-15 is majority current PA-5 (Thompson)
PA-18 Michael Doyle
1995 12th
N/A 26.8%
Redrawn PA-18 is mostly current PA-14 (Doyle)
RI-1 David Cicilline
2011 4th
29.4% 25.6%
RI-2 James Langevin
2001 9th
27.4% 7.1%
SC-2 Joe Wilson
2001 9th
24.4% 17.7%
SC-3 Jeff Duncan
2011 4th
45.8% 38.0%
SC-4 Trey Gowdy
2011 4th
36.2% 25.7%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
SC-5 Ralph Norman
2017 1st
20.5% 18.5%
SC-6 James Clyburn
1993 13th
42.5% 36.5%
SC-7 Tom Rice
2013 3rd
22.0% 18.9%
SD-AL Kristi Noem
2011 4th
28.2% 29.8%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TN-1 Phil Roe
2009 5th
62.9% 57.0%
TN-2 John J. Duncan Jr.
1988 16th
51.3% 35.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TN-3 Chuck Fleischmann
2011 4th
37.6% 35.2%
TN-4 Scott DesJarlais
2011 4th
30.1% 41.2%
TN-5 Jim Cooper
2003 8th
25.1% 18.4%
TN-6 Diane Black
2011 4th
49.3% 48.9%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TN-7 Marsha Blackburn
2003 8th
48.7% 39.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TN-8 David Kustoff
2017 1st
43.7% 35.6%
TN-9 Steve Cohen
2007 6th
59.9% 57.7%
TX-1 Louie Gohmert
2005 7th
49.8% 46.9%
TX-3 Sam Johnson
1991 14th
26.6% 14.2%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-4 John Ratcliffe
2015 2nd
76.0% 53.6%
TX-5 Jeb Hensarling
2003 8th
61.2% 28.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-8 Kevin Brady
1997 11th
* 48.8%
TX-9 Al Green
2005 7th
54.8% 61.3%
TX-11 K. Michael Conaway
2005 7th
79.0% 58.7%
TX-12 Kay Granger
1997 11th
42.5% 30.2%
TX-13 Mac Thornberry
1995 12th
83.3% 63.0%
TX-14 Randy Weber
2013 3rd
23.7% 19.8%
TX-15 Vicente Gonzalez
2017 1st
19.6% 16.7%
TX-16 Beto O'Rourke
2013 3rd
75.8% 40.7%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-17 Bill Flores
2011 4th
25.6% 17.5%
TX-18 Sheila Jackson-Lee
1995 12th
49.9% 56.5%
TX-19 Jodey Arrington
2017 1st
78.1% 49.0%
TX-20 Joaquin Castro
2013 3rd
64.3% 26.7%
TX-25 Roger Williams
2013 3rd
20.6% 14.9%
TX-26 Michael Burgess
2003 8th
36.7% 26.5%
TX-27 Michael Cloud
2018 1st
23.4% 23.6%
TX-28 Henry Cuellar
2005 7th
34.9% 19.8%
TX-29 Gene Green
1993 13th
48.5% 45.7%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-30 Eddie Johnson
1993 13th
58.9% 60.8%
TX-33 Marc Veasey
2013 3rd
47.4% 49.2%
TX-34 Filemon Vela
2013 3rd
25.3% 21.5%
TX-35 Lloyd Doggett
1995 12th
31.5% 33.6%
TX-36 Brian Babin
2015 2nd
77.2% 46.8%
UT-1 Rob Bishop
2003 8th
39.5% 27.3%
UT-2 Chris Stewart
2013 3rd
27.7% 14.0%
UT-3 John Curtis
2017 1st
46.9% 23.9%
VA-1 Robert Wittman
2007 6th
23.3% 12.4%
VA-3 Robert Scott
1993 13th
33.6% 31.7%
VA-4 Donald McEachin
2017 1st
15.7% 21.6%
VA-6 Bob Goodlatte
1993 13th
33.5% 24.8%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
VA-8 Donald Beyer
2015 2nd
41.1% 52.6%
VA-9 Morgan Griffith
2011 4th
40.3% 41.5%
VA-11 Gerald Connolly
2009 5th
* 39.4%
VT-AL Peter Welch
2007 6th
79.6% 26.4%
WA-1 Suzan DelBene
2012 4th
10.8% 16.3%
WA-2 Rick Larsen
2001 9th
28.0% 22.1%
WA-4 Dan Newhouse
2015 2nd
15.3% ^ 22.8%
WA-6 Derek Kilmer
2013 3rd
23.1% 12.3%
WA-7 Pramila Jayapal
2017 1st
12.0% ^ 69.9%
WA-9 Adam Smith
1997 11th
45.8% 47.2%
WA-10 Denny Heck
2013 3rd
17.3% 11.4%
WI-2 Mark Pocan
2013 3rd
37.6% 36.8%
WI-3 Ron Kind
1997 11th
* 4.5%
WI-4 Gwen Moore
2005 7th
65.3% 52.2%
WI-5 Jim Sensenbrenner
1979 20th
37.4% 20.1%
WI-7 Sean Duffy
2011 4th
23.4% 20.5%
WI-8 Mike Gallagher
2017 1st
25.4% 17.6%
WV-1 David McKinley
2011 4th
37.9% 41.6%
WY-AL Liz Cheney
2017 1st
32.1% 47.6%

(a)Source: Ballotpedia (for margins). The margin is the percentage difference between the top two vote-getters in 2016.
More recent results (i.e., special elections held in 2017-18 for vacancies) are not displayed.
* Race was uncontested | ^Top two vote-getters were from the same party

(b)Source: Daily Kos. The margin is the percentage difference between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.