2022 Governor Election Forecasts
These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2022 Governor forecast.
Election Day Live Results: Choose a map to follow along as the votes are counted and races are called.
2022 Governor Elections: Consensus Forecast
A consensus outlook for the 2022 elections for governor based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by at least six of them are shown in the darkest shade.
Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.
November 7: Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin move from Toss-up to Tilts Republican; Kansas, Oregon Toss-up to Tilts Democratic; South Dakota Likely to Safe Republican.
Crystal Ball 2022 Governor Ratings
The final 2022 governor race ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.
November 7: Arizona, Kansas, Nevada, Wisconsin move from Toss-up to Leans Republican; Michigan Likely to Leans Democratic; Oregon Toss-up to Leans Democratic. Read the analysis >
Cook Political Report 2022 Governor Ratings
The final 2022 governor race ratings from Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.
October 28: Connecticut moves from Likely to Safe Democratic; Michigan Likely to Leans Democratic; New York Safe to Likely Democratic. Read the analysis ($)>
Inside Elections Governor Ratings
The latest 2022 governor ratings from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.
October 7: Oklahoma moves from Safe to Likely Republican; Oregon Tilts Democratic to Toss-up; Pennsylvania Tilts to Leans Democratic.
FiveThirtyEight Governor Forecast
This is an interactive gubernatorial map derived from the Deluxe version of the FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast.
The Toss-up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 36 governor elections in 2022.
Fox News 2022 Governor Power Rankings
The final 2022 Governor Power Rankings from Fox News.
Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.
November 1: New York moves from Likely to Leans Democratic; Oklahoma Likely to Leans Republican; Pennsylvania Leans to Likely Democratic.
Split Ticket 2022 Governor Ratings
The final 2022 Governor ratings from Split Ticket, a new political content and mapping site produced by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLAvelleMaps, @lxeagle17, and @macrotargeting.
Use this map to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.
November 5: Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin move from Toss-up to Leans R; Connecticut Likely to Safe D; Kansas, Oregon Toss-up to Leans D; New Mexico Leans to Likely D; South Dakota, Texas Likely to Safe R.
Elections Daily 2022 Governor Ratings
The final 2022 Governor ratings from Elections Daily, a site that provides nonpartisan election coverage.
Use this map to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.
November 7: Toss-up races projected. Arizona, Wisconsin move to Leans Republican; Kansas, Oregon to Leans Democratic. Read the Analysis >
U.S. News Governor Ratings by Louis Jacobson
The final 2022 gubernatorial race ratings from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News & World Report. Jacobson is a senior correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2022.
Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.
November 7: Florida, Georgia move from Leans to Likely R; Iowa, Ohio, Texas Likely to Safe R; New York, Rhode Island Likely to Leans D; Oklahoma Likely to Leans R; Pennsylvania Leans to Likely D. Read the analysis >
CNalysis 2022 Governor Forecast
The current 2022 Governor forecast from CNalysis, which provides nonpartisan election analysis with a particular focus on state legislative elections.
Use this map to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.
Politico 2022 Governor Forecast
The final 2022 governor ratings from Politico. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 36 gubernatorial elections in 2022.
November 7: No changes
