Princeton Election Consortium
Map Based on Polling
Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state.
You can view the full series of three maps here.
A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases: Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Live Results: March 25 Legislative Special Elections
Five vacancies will be filled across three states: Pennsylvania, Mississippi, and South Carolina
Early Voting Begins in Wisconsin Supreme Court Election
The ideological balance of power will be decided in this election for a ten-year term to succeed the retiring Justice Ann Walsh Bradley
Arizona Rep. Raul Grijalva Dies at Age 77
The 12 term Democrat had been receiving cancer treatment
Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire Not Running in 2026
She is the third Democrat to retire this cycle, all in states that represent Republican pickup opportunities
Overview and Live Results: March 11 State House Special Elections
State House vacancies in Iowa and Minnesota will be filled Tuesday. There is also a special State Senate primary in Alabama.
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