2024 Margin of Victory

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This map shows the relative competitiveness of each state in the 2024 presidential election. It displays the margin between Harris and Trump.

The tilt color is used for states decided by less than 5%; leans up to 10%, likely up to 15% and safe >15%.

no 2028 election
no 2028 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

- +
Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Rep. Byron Donalds Running for Florida Governor in 2026

February 26, 2025

He'll look to succeed fellow Republican Ron DeSantis, who is ineligible to run due to term limit laws

Overview and Live Results: February 25 Legislative Special Elections

February 25, 2025

Voters in Connecticut and Maine will fill vacancies, while the California contests may require a top-two election in April

Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell to Retire at End of Term

February 20, 2025

Currently second in seniority to Chuck Grassley, the 83 year old Republican will not seek an 8th term

Overview and Live Results: Delaware and Louisiana Legislative Special Elections

February 15, 2025

Two vacancies in the Senate of each state will be filled Saturday

Minnesota Sen. Tina Smith Not Seeking Reelection in 2026

February 13, 2025

She becomes the second Democratic Senator to retire this cycle