Niskanen Center Electoral Map

As of September 15, 2020

The current 2020 Electoral College projection from Rachel Bitecofer of the Niskanen Center. Read the full analysis here.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

September 15: Alaska moves from Safe Republican to Toss-up; Arizona and Florida from Leans to Likely Democratic; ME-2 from Toss-up to Likely Republican; Nevada and New Hampshire from Likely to Safe Democratic; South Carolina from Safe to Likely Republican.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
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Headlines

Republicans Flip Alaska Congressional District; Two California Districts Remain Uncalled

November 16, 2024

The final tally will be close to where we started - Republicans held a 221-214 edge heading into the election.

Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 14

November 14, 2024

Four U.S. House and one U.S. Senate seat remain uncalled by Decision Desk HQ, which provides results to 270toWin

Republicans Retain House Majority

November 11, 2024

The reelection of Juan Ciscomani (AZ-06) gives the GOP 218 seats

Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 10

November 10, 2024

One Senate seat remains undecided, along with ten House seats. Control of the House remains undetermined

Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 8

November 8, 2024

Republicans need to win just two of the 15 uncalled elections to retain the majority in the House.