PredictWise Presidential Forecast
This isn’t a popularity contest™
Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from the PredictWise state-level probabilities. PredictWise uses the wisdom of the crowd, via real-money prediction markets, to determine the likelihood of events. In this case, it is the likelihood of a state going to Clinton or Trump.
The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Electoral College Meets Tuesday
The next step in the presidential process will affirm Donald Trump received the necessary 270 electoral votes to be elected
Final 2024 Election Maps
Interactive Maps for the 2024 Election Results for President, Senate, House, and Governor
House Election Update: One District Remains Uncalled
Republicans will hold one of the narrowest majorities in history as the new Congress gets underway in January
Republicans Flip Alaska Congressional District; Two California Districts Remain Uncalled
The final tally will be close to where we started - Republicans held a 221-214 edge heading into the election.
Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 14
Four U.S. House and one U.S. Senate seat remain uncalled by Decision Desk HQ, which provides results to 270toWin
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