Crystal Ball 2024 Electoral College Ratings

As of January 4, 2024

The current electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

January 4: No changes. Read the analysis >>

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VT
NH
MA
RI
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NJ
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DC

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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The Real Danger If Trump Wins

Jacob Heilbrunn: “Mr. Trump’s economic and foreign policy nationalism would...

Adam Kinzinger Unloads on Trump

Former Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-IL) reacts to Donald Trump referring to a ‘unified...

Fears of ‘Trump Forever’ Worry Undecided Voters

“As the rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump draws nearer, political...

RFK Jr. Super PAC Gets $5 Million from GOP Megadonor

“The super PAC backing Robert F. Kennedy Jr. got another cash infusion from...

RFK Jr. Not Sure What His Running Mate Is Doing

“Almost exactly a month after introducing Nicole Shanahan as his vice-presidential...

Headlines

Live Results: Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon Primaries

May 21, 2024

Four states hold their down-ballot primaries this Tuesday, with presidential contests also on the ballot in Kentucky and Oregon

Overview and Live Results: California Congressional District 20 Special Election

May 20, 2024

The winner will complete the term of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who resigned at the end of last year.

Live Results: Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Primaries; North Carolina Runoffs

May 14, 2024

Senate Democratic Primary in Maryland is the marquee race, although there are several competitive House races of interest

Overview and Live Results: Indiana Primary

May 7, 2024

Four competitive GOP primaries in deep red U.S. House seats will likely provide the most election day suspense

Live Results: Texas State Senate Special, Lubbock Mayor

May 4, 2024

The lone Senate vacancy will be filled, while voters in the nation's 85th largest city will choose a mayor