Crystal Ball 2024 Electoral College Ratings
As of November 4, 2024
The final electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
November 4: Iowa and NE-01 Safe to Likely Republican.
All Toss-ups removed: Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina to Leans Republican; Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin to Leans Democrat. Read the analysis >
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Headlines
Rep. Byron Donalds Running for Florida Governor in 2026
He'll look to succeed fellow Republican Ron DeSantis, who is ineligible to run due to term limit laws
Overview and Live Results: February 25 Legislative Special Elections
Voters in Connecticut and Maine will fill vacancies, while the California contests may require a top-two election in April
Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell to Retire at End of Term
Currently second in seniority to Chuck Grassley, the 83 year old Republican will not seek an 8th term
Overview and Live Results: Delaware and Louisiana Legislative Special Elections
Two vacancies in the Senate of each state will be filled Saturday
Minnesota Sen. Tina Smith Not Seeking Reelection in 2026
She becomes the second Democratic Senator to retire this cycle
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