Crystal Ball 2024 Electoral College Ratings

As of November 4, 2024

The final electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

November 4: Iowa and NE-01 Safe to Likely Republican. 

All Toss-ups removed:  Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina to Leans Republican; Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin to Leans Democrat. Read the analysis >

 

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2024 election. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2024 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below
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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
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NE

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Headlines

Live Results: April 22 Connecticut and Mississippi State House Special Elections

April 22, 2025

Three vacancies will be filled across these two states

Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens Running for U.S. Senate

April 22, 2025

She will look to succeed retiring fellow Democratic Sen. Gary Peters

Live Results: April 15 State Legislative and Oakland Mayoral Special Elections

April 15, 2025

Oakland voter will select a new mayor after the prior one was recalled in November

Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds Not Seeking Reelection in 2026

April 11, 2025

In her announcement video, Reynolds cited a desire to spend more time with her family