Election News

Sen. Kamala Harris' debate performance has yielded notable gains in a new Suffolk University poll of Democrats likely to attend the Iowa caucuses. Former vice president Joe Biden leads with 24%, followed by Harris at 16% and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 13%.  Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is at 9% and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg is at 6%. No other candidate received more than 2% support.

This is the first Suffolk poll of Iowa this cycle, so no apples-apples comparison can be made. However, in the table below we've compared this poll with that released by Selzer & Co. in early June.  Selzer & Co. is one of the most highly regarded pollsters in the state.

Biden saw no change between the two polls, but many of the other candidates had significant moves. Harris more than doubled her level of support and moved into 2nd place.  Sanders and Buttigieg saw the most significant drop in support. Buttigieg had been polling significantly better here than in the national polls. While he may have previously received the benefit of being from a neighboring state, he is now perhaps being more adversely impacted by the ongoing firestorm around the police shooting of Eric Logan.

A new CNN poll shows significant gains for Sens. Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren, putting them within striking distance of former vice president Joe Biden. The survey, taken after last week's Democratic debate is compared to the prior CNN poll from early June in the table below.

To see other state and national polls, visit our Democratic Nomination page.

California Sen. Kamala Harris' debate performance has led to a surge in support according to a new poll from Morning Consult. Harris received 12% from the 2,407 registered Democrats surveyed, doubling her pre-debate level of support.  Most of the gain came at the expense of former Vice President Joe Biden, who lost five points.  Still at 33%, Biden remains well ahead of the field.

The debate didn't seem to move the needle much for the remainder of the field. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former HUD Secretary Julian Castro, who both saw generally favorable coverage after their first night performance, saw little change in support. Former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke, who seemed to come out on the short end of a testy exchange with Castro did see his support fall from 4% to 2%.  

Here's a page where you can see the top 3 polling Democrats in each state. There's at least one poll in 18 states, although it remains limited in most places.  

Select any of the states for more information about its nominating contest, including an estimate of delegates based on the polls.

It's likely that we'll see some shifts in the rankings as the first post-debate polls are released.

Cast your vote for the winner of night two of the first Democratic debate.  

Click the image below to vote. You'll then be able to view live results.

The 2nd and final night of the first Democratic debate will take place beginning at 9:00 PM in Miami.  Aside from those that will appear on stage, everything will be the same as we noted last night:

The prospective nominees will be placed on stage based on a polling average calculated earlier this month, with those polling highest at the center of the stage.

The debate will be hosted and broadcast by NBC News, MSNBC and Telemundo. Broadcast time is 9:00PM to 11:00PM Eastern. The moderators are Savannah Guthrie, Lester Holt, Chuck Todd, Rachel Maddow and José Diaz-Balart. 

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren was the winner of night one of the first Democratic debate, according to 270toWin visitors participating in a survey. She received just under 34% of the approximately 1,100 valid votes cast*. Hawaii U.S. Rep. Tulsi Gabbard finished 2nd with about 23%, followed by former housing secretary Julian Castro with 14%.

Gabbard was the winner of polls conducted by both Drudge Report and Washington Examiner. 

Cast your vote for the winner of night one of the first Democratic debate.  

Click the image below to vote. You'll then be able to view live results.

The long-awaited first Democratic debate has arrived.  It will take place over two nights in Miami, with 10 candidates appearing each night. The prospective nominees will be placed on stage based on a polling average calculated earlier this month, with those polling highest at the center of the stage.

Here's an excellent New York Times overview of each candidate and some of the dynamics to watch for on night 1.

The first 2020 presidential debate is eight days out, taking place over two nights on June 26 and 27. Last week, we learned on which night each of the 20 candidates will appear. Now we know where they will stand on the podium. 

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke will be at center stage night one. On the 2nd night, it will be former Vice-President Joe Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.  All candidates were placed based on their qualifying polling average as of June 12.  The higher-polling candidates are closest to the center.

Note that in the graphic below, we use the national polling average as of June 18. This will not exactly match up with the qualifying average, which was based on national and early state polls from a list of highly-rated polling organizations.