As has been the case since 1972, the 2024 presidential calendar kicks off with the Iowa caucuses on Monday evening. In a shift from prior cycles, only Republicans will hold a presidential preference vote.
Live Results
Republicans will caucus beginning at 7:00 PM Central Time Monday. The Iowa GOP runs the caucuses, which encompass 1,657 precincts. First results, from smaller precincts, may be available within the first hour, with the whole process playing out over several hours.
Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie is suspending his bid for the 2024 Republican nomination. He made the announcement at a town hall in Windham, New Hampshire on Wednesday afternoon.
Christie said he didn't see a path to the nomination, and spent much of his talk railing against Donald Trump and the current state of the Republican party.
We are inside one week to the Iowa caucuses, to be held next Monday. While both parties will caucus, only Republicans will make their voices heard with regards to the presidential election. Democrats will conduct other business, with a separate presidential preference vote held by mail in the weeks ahead. Those results will be available Super Tuesday, March 5.
Before we get there, however, there are a few state legislative special elections Tuesday. Polls in Virginia and Alabama close at 7:00 PM and 8:00 PM Eastern Time, respectively.
Virginia State Senate District 9
Rep. Greg Pence (IN-06) said Tuesday that he will not run for reelection this year. He is the fifth Republican to announce a planned departure from the U.S. House since the beginning of the year. Overall, however, there are still more Democrats leaving than Republicans - the count is now 23-17. This includes two pending resignations, one from each party.
Rep. Larry Bucshon (IN-08) announced his retirement Monday. The seven-term Republican will leave the House at the end of this term.
— Larry Bucshon, MD (@RepLarryBucshon) January 8, 2024
Indiana's 8th Congressional District is located in the southern part of the state, bordering Illinois to the west, and Kentucky to the south. It includes the cities of Evansville and Terre Haute. Bucshon won his final term by a 34% margin in 2022 and the district is seen as safely Republican despite the loss of incumbency.
Bucshon is the fourth House departure - all Republicans - announced in the past week. This brings the total to 39 current members who are retiring, resigning before the end of the term, or running for another office. The list now includes 23 Democrats and 16 Republicans.
Rep. Doug Lamborn of Colorado said Friday that he will not seek reelection this year. He was reelected for his 9th term by a 16% margin in 2022.
Lamborn is the 38th current U.S. House member to announce they are retiring, resigning before the end of the term, or seeking another office.
As CBS News reports, "His retirement opens up all three Republican-controlled seats in the upcoming 2024 election. Rep. Ken Buck, who represents Colorado's 4th Congressional District (Douglas County, Eastern Plains, and northeast Colorado) announced his retirement from Congress in November 2023, and Rep. Lauren Boebert, who currently represents Colorado's 3rd Congressional District (Western Slope and southern Colorado) announced in late December that she will run for Buck's current seat in CD-4."
Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer said Thursday that he will retire at the end of this term.
— Blaine Luetkemeyer (@RepBlaine) January 4, 2024
Luetkemeyer represents the oddly-shaped, safely Republican 3rd congressional district. He was reelected to his eighth term in 2022 by a 30% margin.
This brings to 37 the number of current House members not seeking reelection this November. This includes two members who have announced they will be leaving before the end of the term.
Rep. John Curtis (UT-03) is joining an increasingly crowded field seeking the 2024 Republican nomination for U.S. Senator from Utah. Incumbent Mitt Romney is retiring from the safely Republican seat.
Other notables in the race include Utah House Speaker Brad Wilson, as well as Brent Hatch, son of the late Sen. Orrin Hatch. The elder Hatch held this same seat for 42 years before retiring in 2018. The Utah statewide primary (for offices other than president) is June 25.
Curtis is completing his 4th term in the U.S. House. As with all four of the state's congressional districts, it is safely Republican. Curtis was reelected with a 35% margin of victory in 2022.
The second day of the year brings the first election of 2024.
South Carolina State Senate District 19
Republicans hold a 30-14 partisan edge over Democrats in the South Carolina State Senate. There is one independent. Members serve four-year terms; the next regular elections are this November.
2024 begins with two vacancies in the U.S. House. One is in CA-20, where former Speaker Kevin McCarthy's resignation was effective as of December 31. The other vacancy is in NY-03; George Santos was expelled on December 1.
With these departures, the Republican majority has narrowed. When the House reconvenes next week, the party will hold 220 seats, with Democrats controlling 213.
