538 Forecast: 2024 House Election

Current as of Map Timestamp

This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 House Election Forecast from 538. It is current as of the map timestamp.

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (75%+), Dark (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House election forecast.

Current House 118^th Congress

Interactive Map Contested 2024

2025 House 119^th Congress

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House Elections 2024


Current	212	220	3 *
Consensus Forecast	207	207	21
Interactive Map Above

* Vacant Seat(s)

Most Competitive 2024 House Races
Show 2024 Candidates

District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Predictions		Margin of Victory
District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Consensus	Map	House^(a)	President^(b)
Filtered list below matches districts currently visible in map window.
AL- 2	Barry Moore		2021	2nd			39.9%	29.4%
AL- 2
GA- 6	Rich McCormick		2023	1st			24.4%	14.9%
GA- 6	Will run in GA-07 after new redistricting
GA- 7	Lucy McBath		2019	3rd			22.1%	25.8%
GA- 7	Will run in GA-06 after new redistricting
LA- 6	Garret Graves		2015	5th			67.4% ⁺	30.4%
LA- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024.
NC- 1	Don Davis		2023	1st			4.7%	7.3%
NC- 1
NC- 6	Kathy Manning		2021	2nd			8.9%	12.4%
NC- 6
NC- 13	Wiley Nickel		2023	1st			3.2%	1.7%
NC- 13
NC- 14	Jeff Jackson		2023	1st			15.4%	16.4%
NC- 14	Retiring to run for NC Attorney General
NY- 1	Nicholas LaLota		2023	1st			11.0%	0.2%
NY- 1
NY- 3	Tom Suozzi		2024	1st			7.5%	8.2%
NY- 3
NY- 4	Anthony D'Esposito		2023	1st			3.6%	14.5%
NY- 4
NY- 17	Michael Lawler		2023	1st			0.6%	10.1%
NY- 17
NY- 18	Pat Ryan		2022	2nd			1.4%	8.4%
NY- 18
NY- 19	Marc Molinaro		2023	1st			1.6%	4.6%
NY- 19
NY- 22	Brandon Williams		2023	1st			1.0%	7.5%
NY- 22
AK- AL	Mary Peltola		2022	2nd			9.9% ^y	10.1%
AK- AL	Eric Hafner Mary Peltola* Nick Begich John Howe
AZ- 1	David Schweikert		2011	7th			0.9%	1.5%
AZ- 1	Amish Shah David Schweikert*
AZ- 2	Eli Crane		2023	1st			7.8%	7.9%
AZ- 2	Jonathan Nez Eli Crane*
AZ- 6	Juan Ciscomani		2023	1st			1.5%	0.1%
AZ- 6	Kirsten Engel Juan Ciscomani*
CA- 3	Kevin Kiley		2023	1st			7.2%	1.8%
CA- 3	Jessica Morse Kevin Kiley*
CA- 9	Josh Harder		2019	3rd			9.6%	12.6%
CA- 9	Josh Harder* Kevin Lincoln
CA- 13	John Duarte		2023	1st			0.4%	10.9%
CA- 13	Adam Gray John Duarte*
CA- 22	David Valadao		2021	2nd			3.0%	12.9%
CA- 22	Rudy Salas David Valadao*
CA- 27	Mike Garcia		2020	3rd			6.4%	12.4%
CA- 27	George Whitesides Mike Garcia*
CA- 40	Young Kim		2021	2nd			13.6%	1.9%
CA- 40	Joe Kerr Young Kim*
CA- 41	Ken Calvert		1993	16th			4.6%	1.1%
CA- 41	Will Rollins Ken Calvert*
CA- 45	Michelle Steel		2021	2nd			4.8%	6.2%
CA- 45	Derek Tran Michelle Steel*
CA- 47	Katie Porter		2019	3rd			3.4%	11.1%
CA- 47	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Dave Min Scott Baugh
CA- 49	Mike Levin		2019	3rd			5.2%	11.4%
CA- 49	Mike Levin* Matt Gunderson
CO- 3	Lauren Boebert		2021	2nd			0.2%	8.3%
CO- 3	Running in CO-04 Adam Frisch Jeff Hurd
CO- 8	Yadira Caraveo		2023	1st			0.7%	4.6%
CO- 8	Yadira Caraveo* Gabe Evans
CT- 5	Jahana Hayes		2019	3rd			0.8%	10.7%
CT- 5	Jahana Hayes* George Logan
FL- 7	Cory Mills		2023	1st			17.1%	5.5%
FL- 7	Jennifer Adams Cory Mills*
FL- 9	Darren Soto		2017	4th			7.3%	17.4%
FL- 9	Darren Soto* Thomas Chalifoux
FL- 13	Anna Luna		2023	1st			8.1%	6.8%
FL- 13	Whitney Fox Anna Paulina Luna*
FL- 15	Laurel Lee		2023	1st			17.1%	3.2%
FL- 15	Patricia Kemp Laurel Lee*
FL- 27	Maria Salazar		2021	2nd			14.6%	0.3%
FL- 27	Lucia Baez-Geller Maria Elvira Salazar*
IA- 1	Mariannette Miller-Meeks		2021	2nd			6.8%	2.9%
IA- 1	Christina Bohannan Mariannette Miller-Meeks*
IA- 2	Ashley Hinson		2021	2nd			8.2%	4.4%
IA- 2	Sarah Corkery Ashley Hinson*
IA- 3	Zach Nunn		2023	1st			0.7%	0.3%
IA- 3	Lanon Baccam Zach Nunn*
IL- 17	Eric Sorensen		2023	1st			4.0%	7.8%
IL- 17	Eric Sorensen* Joe McGraw
IN- 1	Frank Mrvan		2021	2nd			5.6%	8.4%
IN- 1	Frank Mrvan* Randy Niemeyer
KS- 3	Sharice Davids		2019	3rd			12.2%	4.5%
KS- 3	Sharice Davids* Prasanth Reddy
MD- 6	David Trone		2019	3rd			9.6%	9.8%
MD- 6	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate April McClain Delaney Neil Parrott
ME- 2	Jared Golden		2019	3rd			6.1% ^y	6.1%
ME- 2	Jared Golden* Austin Theriault
MI- 3	Hillary Scholten		2023	1st			12.9%	8.5%
MI- 3	Hillary Scholten* Paul Hudson
MI- 7	Elissa Slotkin		2019	3rd			5.4%	0.5%
MI- 7	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Curtis Hertel Tom Barrett
MI- 8	Dan Kildee		2013	6th			10.3%	2.0%
MI- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Kristen McDonald Rivet Paul Junge
MI- 10	John James		2023	1st			0.5%	1.0%
MI- 10	Carl Marlinga John James*
MN- 2	Angie Craig		2019	3rd			5.2%	7.2%
MN- 2	Angie Craig* Joe Teirab
MO- 2	Ann Wagner		2013	6th			11.9%	7.8%
MO- 2	Ray Hartmann Ann Wagner*
MT- 1	Ryan Zinke		2023	1st			3.2%	6.9%
MT- 1	Monica Tranel Ryan Zinke*
NE- 2	Don Bacon		2017	4th			2.7%	6.3%
NE- 2	Tony Vargas Don Bacon*
NH- 1	Chris Pappas		2019	3rd			8.1%	5.9%
NH- 1	Chris Pappas* Russell Prescott
NH- 2	Ann Kuster		2013	6th			11.7%	8.8%
NH- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Maggie Goodlander Lily Tang Williams
NJ- 7	Tom Kean		2023	1st			2.8%	3.9%
NJ- 7	Sue Altman Thomas Kean Jr.*
NM- 2	Gabriel Vasquez		2023	1st			0.7%	5.9%
NM- 2	Gabe Vasquez* Yvette Herrell
NV- 1	Dina Titus		2013	6th			5.6%	8.5%
NV- 1	Dina Titus* Mark Robertson
NV- 3	Susie Lee		2019	3rd			4.0%	6.6%
NV- 3	Susie Lee* Drew Johnson
NV- 4	Steven Horsford		2019	3rd			4.8%	8.3%
NV- 4	Steven Horsford* John Lee
OH- 1	Greg Landsman		2023	1st			5.5%	8.5%
OH- 1	Greg Landsman* Orlando Sonza
OH- 9	Marcy Kaptur		1983	21st			13.3%	2.9%
OH- 9	Marcy Kaptur* Derek Merrin
OH- 13	Emilia Sykes		2023	1st			5.4%	2.8%
OH- 13	Emilia Sykes* Kevin Coughlin
OR- 4	Val Hoyle		2023	1st			7.5%	12.7%
OR- 4	Val Hoyle* Monique DeSpain
OR- 5	Lori Chavez-DeRemer		2023	1st			2.1%	8.9%
OR- 5	Janelle Bynum Lori Chavez-DeRemer*
OR- 6	Andrea Salinas		2023	1st			2.5%	13.2%
OR- 6	Andrea Salinas* Mike Erickson
PA- 1	Brian Fitzpatrick		2017	4th			9.7%	4.6%
PA- 1	Ashley Ehasz Brian Fitzpatrick*
PA- 7	Susan Wild		2018	4th			2.0%	0.6%
PA- 7	Susan Wild* Ryan Mackenzie
PA- 8	Matt Cartwright		2013	6th			2.4%	2.9%
PA- 8	Matt Cartwright* Robert Bresnahan
PA- 10	Scott Perry		2013	6th			7.7%	4.1%
PA- 10	Janelle Stelson Scott Perry*
PA- 17	Chris Deluzio		2023	1st			6.8%	5.8%
PA- 17	Chris Deluzio* Rob Mercuri
TN- 5	Andy Ogles		2023	1st			13.5%	11.3%
TN- 5	Maryam Abolfazli Andy Ogles
TX- 15	Monica De La Cruz		2023	1st			8.5%	2.9%
TX- 15	Michelle Vallejo Monica De La Cruz*
TX- 28	Henry Cuellar		2005	10th			13.3%	7.0%
TX- 28	Henry Cuellar* Jay Furman
TX- 34	Vicente Gonzalez		2017	4th			8.5%	15.5%
TX- 34	Vicente Gonzalez* Mayra Flores
VA- 2	Jen Kiggans		2023	1st			3.4%	1.9%
VA- 2	Missy Smasal Jen Kiggans*
VA- 7	Abigail Spanberger		2019	3rd			4.7%	6.8%
VA- 7	Retiring to run for Governor of Virginia in 2025 Eugene Vindman Derrick Anderson
WA- 3	Marie Perez		2023	1st			0.8%	4.2%
WA- 3	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez* Joe Kent
WA- 8	Kim Schrier		2019	3rd			6.9%	6.7%
WA- 8	Kim Schrier* Carmen Goers
WI- 1	Bryan Steil		2019	3rd			8.9%	2.0%
WI- 1	Peter Barca Bryan Steil*
WI- 3	Derrick Van Orden		2023	1st			3.7%	4.7%
WI- 3	Rebecca Cooke Derrick Van Orden*
The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party.
AL- 1	Jerry Carl		2021	2nd			68.0% ⁺	28.3%
AL- 1	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2024 election.
AL- 3	Mike Rogers		2003	11th			46.1%	34.1%
AL- 3
AL- 4	Robert Aderholt		1997	14th			70.6%	61.8%
AL- 4
AL- 5	Dale Strong		2023	1st			37.6%	27.1%
AL- 5
AL- 6	Gary Palmer		2015	5th			68.7% ⁺	29.9%
AL- 6
AL- 7	Terri Sewell		2011	7th			28.8%	32.0%
AL- 7
GA- 1	Buddy Carter		2015	5th			18.3%	13.4%
GA- 1
GA- 2	Sanford Bishop Jr.		1993	16th			9.9%	10.3%
GA- 2
GA- 3	Drew Ferguson		2017	4th			37.5%	30.1%
GA- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024.
GA- 4	Hank Johnson		2007	9th			57.0%	57.7%
GA- 4
GA- 5	Nikema Williams		2021	2nd			65.0%	66.5%
GA- 5
GA- 8	Austin Scott		2011	7th			37.2%	27.6%
GA- 8
GA- 9	Andrew Clyde		2021	2nd			44.7%	37.9%
GA- 9
GA- 10	Mike Collins		2023	1st			29.1%	23.4%
GA- 10
GA- 11	Barry Loudermilk		2015	5th			25.2%	15.3%
GA- 11
GA- 12	Rick Allen		2015	5th			19.2%	10.1%
GA- 12
GA- 13	David Scott		2003	11th			63.5%	60.4%
GA- 13
GA- 14	Marjorie Taylor Greene		2021	2nd			31.7%	37.4%
GA- 14
LA- 1	Steve Scalise		2008	9th			47.6%	39.0%
LA- 1
LA- 2	Troy Carter		2021	2nd			54.2%	52.5%
LA- 2
LA- 3	Clay Higgins		2017	4th			53.8% ^x	37.6%
LA- 3
LA- 4	Mike Johnson		2017	4th			^*	24.1%
LA- 4
LA- 5	Julia Letlow		2021	2nd			51.9% ^x	29.7%
LA- 5
NC- 2	Deborah Ross		2021	2nd			29.4%	28.8%
NC- 2
NC- 3	Greg Murphy		2019	3rd			33.8%	25.4%
NC- 3
NC- 4	Valerie Foushee		2023	1st			33.8%	35.1%
NC- 4
NC- 5	Virginia Foxx		2005	10th			26.3%	21.3%
NC- 5
NC- 7	David Rouzer		2015	5th			15.4%	12.7%
NC- 7
NC- 8	Dan Bishop		2019	3rd			39.8%	34.1%
NC- 8	Retiring to run for NC Attorney General
NC- 9	Richard Hudson		2013	6th			13.0%	8.0%
NC- 9
NC- 10	Patrick McHenry		2005	10th			45.3%	39.5%
NC- 10
NC- 11	Chuck Edwards		2023	1st			9.3%	10.2%
NC- 11
NC- 12	Alma Adams		2014	6th			25.5%	30.2%
NC- 12
NY- 2	Andrew Garbarino		2021	2nd			21.4%	1.5%
NY- 2
NY- 5	Gregory Meeks		1998	14th			50.4%	62.4%
NY- 5
NY- 6	Grace Meng		2013	6th			27.9%	30.3%
NY- 6
NY- 7	Nydia Velazquez		1993	16th			61.3%	62.6%
NY- 7
NY- 8	Hakeem Jeffries		2013	6th			43.4%	53.2%
NY- 8
NY- 9	Yvette Clarke		2007	9th			62.9% ⁺	51.6%
NY- 9
NY- 10	Dan Goldman		2023	1st			68.4%	71.2%
NY- 10
NY- 11	Nicole Malliotakis		2021	2nd			23.5%	7.6%
NY- 11
NY- 12	Jerrold Nadler		1992	17th			63.7%	71.4%
NY- 12
NY- 13	Adriano Espaillat		2017	4th			^*	77.0%
NY- 13
NY- 14	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez		2019	3rd			43.3%	56.6%
NY- 14
NY- 15	Ritchie Torres		2021	2nd			65.5%	70.0%
NY- 15
NY- 16	Jamaal Bowman		2021	2nd			28.6%	43.7%
NY- 16	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2024 election.
NY- 20	Paul Tonko		2009	8th			10.1%	19.2%
NY- 20
NY- 21	Elise Stefanik		2015	5th			18.3%	12.4%
NY- 21
NY- 23	Nick Langworthy		2023	1st			29.8%	17.2%
NY- 23
NY- 24	Claudia Tenney		2021	2nd			31.4%	17.2%
NY- 24
NY- 25	Joseph Morelle		2018	4th			7.7%	19.7%
NY- 25
NY- 26	Tim Kennedy		2024	1st			27.9%	23.4%
NY- 26
AR- 1	Rick Crawford		2011	7th			47.6%	40.9%
AR- 1	Rodney Govens Rick Crawford*
AR- 2	French Hill		2015	5th			24.8%	13.1%
AR- 2	Marcus Jones French Hill*
AR- 3	Steve Womack		2011	7th			30.8%	23.4%
AR- 3	Caitlin Draper Steve Womack*
AR- 4	Bruce Westerman		2015	5th			44.8%	35.2%
AR- 4	Risie Howard Bruce Westerman*
AZ- 3	Ruben Gallego		2015	5th			54.0%	50.6%
AZ- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Yassamin Ansari Jeff Zink
AZ- 4	Greg Stanton		2019	3rd			12.2%	10.3%
AZ- 4	Greg Stanton* Kelly Cooper
AZ- 5	Andy Biggs		2017	4th			19.3%	16.4%
AZ- 5	Katrina Schaffner Andy Biggs*
AZ- 7	Raul Grijalva		2003	11th			29.0%	32.8%
AZ- 7	Raul Grijalva* Daniel Butierez
AZ- 8	Debbie Lesko		2018	4th			^*	13.5%
AZ- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Gregory Whitten Abe Hamadeh
AZ- 9	Paul Gosar		2011	7th			^*	25.8%
AZ- 9	Quacy Smith Paul Gosar*
CA- 1	Doug LaMalfa		2013	6th			24.2%	19.1%
CA- 1	Rose Yee Doug LaMalfa*
CA- 2	Jared Huffman		2013	6th			48.8%	49.5%
CA- 2	Jared Huffman* Chris Coulombe
CA- 4	Mike Thompson		1999	13th			35.6%	36.6%
CA- 4	Mike Thompson* John Munn
CA- 5	Tom McClintock		2009	8th			22.6%	12.3%
CA- 5	Michael Barkley Tom McClintock*
CA- 6	Ami Bera		2013	6th			11.8%	18.4%
CA- 6	Ami Bera* Christine Bish
CA- 7	Doris Matsui		2005	10th			36.6%	37.2%
CA- 7	Doris Matsui* Tom Silva
CA- 8	John Garamendi		2009	8th			51.4%	54.0%
CA- 8	John Garamendi* Rudy Recile
CA- 10	Mark DeSaulnier		2015	5th			57.8% ⁺	39.4%
CA- 10	Mark DeSaulnier* Katherine Piccinini
CA- 11	Nancy Pelosi		1987	19th			68.0%	74.5%
CA- 11	Nancy Pelosi* Bruce Lou
CA- 12	Barbara Lee		1998	14th			81.0%	80.7%
CA- 12	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Lateefah Simon Jennifer Tran
CA- 14	Eric Swalwell		2013	6th			38.6%	45.5%
CA- 14	Eric Swalwell* Vin Kruttiventi
CA- 15	Kevin Mullin		2023	1st			^{^}	57.3%
CA- 15	Kevin Mullin* Anna Kramer
CA- 16	Anna Eshoo		1993	16th			^{^}	53.0%
CA- 16	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Sam Liccardo Evan Low
CA- 17	Ro Khanna		2017	4th			41.8%	47.4%
CA- 17	Ro Khanna* Anita Chen
CA- 18	Zoe Lofgren		1995	15th			31.8%	44.1%
CA- 18	Zoe Lofgren* Peter Hernandez
CA- 19	Jimmy Panetta		2017	4th			37.4%	39.6%
CA- 19	Jimmy Panetta* Jason Anderson
CA- 20	Vince Fong		2024	1st			34.4%	24.9%
CA- 20	Mike Boudreaux Vince Fong*
CA- 21	Jim Costa		2013	6th			8.4%	20.3%
CA- 21	Jim Costa* Michael Maher
CA- 23	Jay Obernolte		2021	2nd			22.0%	9.8%
CA- 23	Derek Marshall Jay Obernolte*
CA- 24	Salud Carbajal		2017	4th			21.2%	29.1%
CA- 24	Salud Carbajal* Thomas Cole
CA- 25	Raul Ruiz		2013	6th			14.8%	15.3%
CA- 25	Raul Ruiz* Ian Weeks
CA- 26	Julia Brownley		2013	6th			9.0%	20.0%
CA- 26	Julia Brownley* Michael Koslow
CA- 28	Judy Chu		2009	8th			32.4%	34.2%
CA- 28	Judy Chu* April Verlato
CA- 29	Tony Cardenas		2013	6th			^{^}	51.3%
CA- 29	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Luz Rivas Benito Bernal
CA- 30	Adam Schiff		2001	12th			^{^}	46.2%
CA- 30	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Laura Friedman Alex Balekian
CA- 31	Grace Napolitano		1999	13th			19.0%	31.1%
CA- 31	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Gil Cisneros Daniel Martinez
CA- 32	Brad Sherman		1997	14th			38.4%	40.8%
CA- 32	Brad Sherman* Larry Thompson
CA- 33	Pete Aguilar		2015	5th			15.4%	25.3%
CA- 33	Pete Aguilar* Tom Herman
CA- 34	Jimmy Gomez		2017	4th			^{^}	64.2%
CA- 34	Jimmy Gomez* David Kim
CA- 35	Norma Torres		2015	5th			14.8%	27.6%
CA- 35	Norma Torres* Mike Cargile
CA- 36	Ted Lieu		2015	5th			39.6%	44.1%
CA- 36	Ted Lieu* Melissa Toomim
CA- 37	Sydney Kamlager		2023	1st			^{^}	73.3%
CA- 37	Sydney Kamlager-Dove* Juan Rey
CA- 38	Linda Sanchez		2003	11th			16.2%	30.2%
CA- 38	Linda Sanchez* Eric Ching
CA- 39	Mark Takano		2013	6th			15.4%	26.1%
CA- 39	Mark Takano* David Serpa
CA- 42	Robert Garcia		2023	1st			36.8%	45.8%
CA- 42	Robert Garcia* John Briscoe
CA- 43	Maxine Waters		1991	17th			54.6%	63.8%
CA- 43	Maxine Waters* Steve Williams
CA- 44	Nanette Barragan		2017	4th			44.4%	48.2%
CA- 44	Nanette Barragan* Roger Groh
CA- 46	Lou Correa		2017	4th			23.6%	30.4%
CA- 46	Lou Correa* David Pan
CA- 48	Darrell Issa		2021	2nd			20.8%	12.3%
CA- 48	Stephen Houlahan Darrell Issa*
CA- 50	Scott Peters		2013	6th			25.6%	33.1%
CA- 50	Scott Peters* Peter Bono
CA- 51	Sara Jacobs		2021	2nd			23.8%	27.3%
CA- 51	Sara Jacobs* Bill Wells
CA- 52	Juan Vargas		2013	6th			33.4%	36.9%
CA- 52	Juan Vargas* Justin Lee
CO- 1	Diana DeGette		1997	14th			62.8%	61.3%
CO- 1	Diana DeGette* Valdamar Archuleta
CO- 2	Joe Neguse		2019	3rd			42.0%	39.9%
CO- 2	Joe Neguse* Marshall Dawson
CO- 4	Greg Lopez		2024	1st			24.4%	18.6%
CO- 4	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Trisha Calvarese Lauren Boebert*
CO- 5	Doug Lamborn		2007	9th			15.7%	10.1%
CO- 5	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. River Gassen Jeff Crank
CO- 6	Jason Crow		2019	3rd			23.2%	23.8%
CO- 6	Jason Crow* John Fabbricatore
CO- 7	Brittany Pettersen		2023	1st			15.0%	14.2%
CO- 7	Brittany Pettersen* Sergei Matveyuk
CT- 1	John Larson		1999	13th			23.8%	28.1%
CT- 1	John Larson* Jim Griffin
CT- 2	Joe Courtney		2007	9th			18.1%	11.4%
CT- 2	Joe Courtney* Mike France
CT- 3	Rosa DeLauro		1991	17th			16.2%	19.7%
CT- 3	Rosa DeLauro* Michael Massey
CT- 4	James Himes		2009	8th			18.8%	31.0%
CT- 4	Jim Himes* Michael Goldstein
DE- AL	Lisa Rochester		2017	4th			12.5%	19.0%
DE- AL	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Sarah McBride John Whalen
FL- 1	Matt Gaetz		2017	4th			35.7%	32.3%
FL- 1	Gay Valimont Matt Gaetz*
FL- 2	Neal Dunn		2017	4th			19.6%	11.0%
FL- 2	Yen Bailey Neal Dunn*
FL- 3	Kat Cammack		2021	2nd			26.2%	14.1%
FL- 3	Tom Wells Kat Cammack*
FL- 4	Aaron Bean		2023	1st			20.9%	6.7%
FL- 4	LaShonda Holloway Aaron Bean*
FL- 5	John Rutherford		2017	4th			^*	15.8%
FL- 5	Jay McGovern John Rutherford*
FL- 6	Michael Waltz		2019	3rd			50.7% ⁺	23.7%
FL- 6	James Stockton Michael Waltz*
FL- 8	Bill Posey		2009	8th			29.8%	17.6%
FL- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Sandy Kennedy Mike Haridopolos
FL- 10	Maxwell Frost		2023	1st			19.6%	31.8%
FL- 10	Maxwell Frost* Willie Montague
FL- 11	Dan Webster		2017	4th			27.7%	10.9%
FL- 11	Barbie Harden Hall Daniel Webster*
FL- 12	Gus Bilirakis		2007	9th			40.8%	28.7%
FL- 12	Rock Aboujaoude Gus Bilirakis*
FL- 14	Kathy Castor		2007	9th			13.8%	19.1%
FL- 14	Kathy Castor* Rocky Rochford
FL- 16	Vern Buchanan		2007	9th			24.3%	8.9%
FL- 16	Jan Schneider Vern Buchanan*
FL- 17	Greg Steube		2019	3rd			28.3%	16.0%
FL- 17	Manny Lopez Greg Steube*
FL- 18	Scott Franklin		2021	2nd			49.4% ⁺	22.8%
FL- 18	Andrea Kale Scott Franklin*
FL- 19	Byron Donalds		2021	2nd			36.0%	21.0%
FL- 19	Kari Lerner Byron Donalds*
FL- 20	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick		2021	2nd			44.6%	52.4%
FL- 20	Incumbent is unopposed
FL- 21	Brian Mast		2017	4th			27.0%	9.4%
FL- 21	Thomas Witkop Brian Mast*
FL- 22	Lois Frankel		2013	6th			10.2%	17.6%
FL- 22	Lois Frankel* Dan Franzese
FL- 23	Jared Moskowitz		2023	1st			4.8%	13.2%
FL- 23	Jared Moskowitz* Joe Kaufman
FL- 24	Frederica Wilson		2011	7th			43.6%	49.1%
FL- 24	Frederica Wilson* Jesus Navarro
FL- 25	Debbie Wasserman Schultz		2005	10th			10.2%	19.9%
FL- 25	Debbie Wasserman Schultz* Chris Eddy
FL- 26	Mario Diaz-Balart		2003	11th			41.7%	18.3%
FL- 26	Joey Atkins Mario Diaz-Balart*
FL- 28	Carlos Gimenez		2021	2nd			27.4%	6.3%
FL- 28	Phil Ehr Carlos Gimenez*
HI- 1	Ed Case		2019	3rd			47.4%	29.4%
HI- 1	Ed Case* Patrick Largey
HI- 2	Jill Tokuda		2023	1st			26.9%	29.5%
HI- 2	Jill Tokuda* Steven Bond
IA- 4	Randy Feenstra		2021	2nd			36.9%	26.0%
IA- 4	Ryan Melton Randy Feenstra*
ID- 1	Russ Fulcher		2019	3rd			45.0%	38.2%
ID- 1	Kaylee Peterson Russ Fulcher*
ID- 2	Michael Simpson		1999	13th			27.2%	22.9%
ID- 2	David Roth Mike Simpson*
IL- 1	Jonathan Jackson		2023	1st			34.1%	42.4%
IL- 1	Jonathan Jackson* Marcus Lewis
IL- 2	Robin Kelly		2013	6th			34.3%	40.0%
IL- 2	Robin Kelly* Ashley Ramos
IL- 3	Delia Ramirez		2023	1st			37.0%	41.4%
IL- 3	Delia Ramirez* John Booras
IL- 4	Jesus Garcia		2019	3rd			40.4%	46.4%
IL- 4	Chuy Garcia* Lupe Castillo
IL- 5	Mike Quigley		2009	8th			40.8%	39.6%
IL- 5	Mike Quigley* Tommy Hanson
IL- 6	Sean Casten		2019	3rd			8.7%	10.9%
IL- 6	Sean Casten* Niki Conforti
IL- 7	Danny Davis		1997	14th			^*	72.8%
IL- 7	Danny Davis* Chad Koppie
IL- 8	Raja Krishnamoorthi		2017	4th			13.8%	15.4%
IL- 8	Raja Krishnamoorthi* Mark Rice
IL- 9	Jan Schakowsky		1999	13th			43.4%	41.6%
IL- 9	Jan Schakowsky* Seth Cohen*
IL- 10	Brad Schneider		2017	4th			26.0%	25.9%
IL- 10	Brad Schneider* Jim Carris
IL- 11	Bill Foster		2013	6th			12.9%	15.3%
IL- 11	Bill Foster* Jerry Evans
IL- 12	Mike Bost		2015	5th			50.0%	42.8%
IL- 12	Brian Roberts Mike Bost*
IL- 13	Nikki Budzinski		2023	1st			13.2%	11.2%
IL- 13	Nikki Budzinksi* Joshua Loyd
IL- 14	Lauren Underwood		2019	3rd			8.3%	11.5%
IL- 14	Lauren Underwood* Jim Marter
IL- 15	Mary Miller		2021	2nd			42.2%	38.7%
IL- 15	Incumbent is unopposed
IL- 16	Darin LaHood		2015	5th			32.7%	21.5%
IL- 16	Incumbent is unopposed
IN- 2	Rudy Yakym		2022	2nd			32.2%	22.6%
IN- 2	Lori Camp Rudy Yakym*
IN- 3	Jim Banks		2017	4th			35.2%	29.9%
IN- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Kiley Adolph Marlin Stutzman
IN- 4	Jim Baird		2019	3rd			36.4%	29.1%
IN- 4	Derrick Holder Jim Baird*
IN- 5	Victoria Spartz		2021	2nd			22.2%	15.9%
IN- 5	Deborah Pickett Victoria Spartz*
IN- 6	Greg Pence		2019	3rd			35.0%	31.9%
IN- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Cynthia Wirth Jefferson Shreve
IN- 7	Andre Carson		2008	9th			36.4%	42.4%
IN- 7	Andre Carson* John Schmitz
IN- 8	Larry Bucshon		2011	7th			34.2%	32.8%
IN- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Erik Hurt Mark Messmer
IN- 9	Erin Houchin		2023	1st			30.0%	27.3%
IN- 9	Timothy Peck Erin Houchin*
KS- 1	Tracey Mann		2021	2nd			35.3%	29.6%
KS- 1	Paul Buskirk Tracey Mann*
KS- 2	Jake LaTurner		2021	2nd			15.2%	16.3%
KS- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Nancy Boyda Derek Schmidt
KS- 4	Ron Estes		2017	4th			26.7%	21.7%
KS- 4	Esau Freeman Ron Estes*
KY- 1	James Comer		2016	5th			49.8%	42.7%
KY- 1	Erin Marshall James Comer*
KY- 2	Brett Guthrie		2009	8th			43.8%	36.7%
KY- 2	Hank Linderman Brett Guthrie*
KY- 3	Morgan McGarvey		2023	1st			24.0%	22.3%
KY- 3	Morgan McGarvey* Mike Craven
KY- 4	Thomas Massie		2012	7th			34.0%	32.5%
KY- 4	Incumbent is unopposed
KY- 5	Hal Rogers		1981	22nd			64.4%	59.4%
KY- 5	Incumbent is unopposed
KY- 6	Andy Barr		2013	6th			30.2%	11.0%
KY- 6	Randy Cravens Andy Barr*
MA- 1	Richard Neal		1989	18th			23.1%	21.7%
MA- 1	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 2	James McGovern		1997	14th			32.5%	30.8%
MA- 2	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 3	Lori Trahan		2019	3rd			27.1%	27.4%
MA- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 4	Jake Auchincloss		2021	2nd			^*	28.5%
MA- 4	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 5	Katherine Clark		2013	6th			48.1%	51.1%
MA- 5	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 6	Seth Moulton		2015	5th			27.7%	27.6%
MA- 6	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 7	Ayanna Pressley		2019	3rd			69.5%	72.4%
MA- 7	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 8	Stephen Lynch		2001	12th			39.6%	35.5%
MA- 8	Stephen Lynch* Robert Burke
MA- 9	William Keating		2011	7th			18.2%	18.2%
MA- 9	Bill Keating* Dan Sullivan
MD- 1	Andrew Harris		2011	7th			11.3%	14.5%
MD- 1	Blane Miller Andy Harris*
MD- 2	C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger		2003	11th			18.6%	20.8%
MD- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Johnny Olszewski Kimberly Klacik
MD- 3	John Sarbanes		2007	9th			20.5%	25.5%
MD- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Sarah Elfreth Robert Steinberger
MD- 4	Glenn Ivey		2023	1st			80.5%	81.0%
MD- 4	Glenn Ivey* George McDermott
MD- 5	Steny Hoyer		1981	22nd			32.0%	36.5%
MD- 5	Steny Hoyer* Michelle Talkington
MD- 7	Kweisi Mfume		2020	3rd			64.4%	63.5%
MD- 7	Kweisi Mfume* Scott Collier
MD- 8	Jamie Raskin		2017	4th			62.0%	62.6%
MD- 8	Jamie Raskin* Cheryl Riley
ME- 1	Chellie Pingree		2009	8th			25.9%	22.8%
ME- 1	Chellie Pingree* Ronald Russell
MI- 1	Jack Bergman		2017	4th			22.6%	19.8%
MI- 1	Callie Barr Jack Bergman*
MI- 2	John Moolenaar		2015	5th			29.4%	28.2%
MI- 2	Michael Lynch John Moolenaar*
MI- 4	Bill Huizenga		2011	7th			11.9%	3.9%
MI- 4	Jessica Swartz Bill Huizenga*
MI- 5	Tim Walberg		2011	7th			27.5%	24.2%
MI- 5	Libbi Urban Tim Walberg*
MI- 6	Debbie Dingell		2015	5th			31.8%	26.7%
MI- 6	Debbie Dingell* Heather Smiley
MI- 9	Lisa McClain		2021	2nd			30.7%	29.5%
MI- 9	Clinton St. Mosley Lisa McClain*
MI- 11	Haley Stevens		2019	3rd			22.6%	19.8%
MI- 11	Haley Stevens* Nick Somberg
MI- 12	Rashida Tlaib		2019	3rd			44.6%	48.5%
MI- 12	Rashida Tlaib* James Hooper
MI- 13	Shri Thanedar		2023	1st			47.1%	49.6%
MI- 13	Shri Thanedar* Martell Bivings
MN- 1	Brad Finstad		2022	2nd			11.5%	9.2%
MN- 1	Rachel Bohman Brad Finstad*
MN- 3	Dean Phillips		2019	3rd			19.2%	21.0%
MN- 3	Retiring to run for President Kelly Morrison Tad Jude
MN- 4	Betty McCollum		2001	12th			35.3%	37.6%
MN- 4	Betty McCollum* May Lor Xiong
MN- 5	Ilhan Omar		2019	3rd			49.8%	63.1%
MN- 5	Ilhan Omar* Dalia Al-Aqidi
MN- 6	Tom Emmer		2015	5th			24.2%	17.6%
MN- 6	Jeanne Hendricks Tom Emmer*
MN- 7	Michelle Fischbach		2021	2nd			39.3%	33.2%
MN- 7	A.J. Peters Michelle Fischbach*
MN- 8	Pete Stauber		2019	3rd			14.5%	11.3%
MN- 8	Jen Schultz Pete Stauber*
MO- 1	Cori Bush		2021	2nd			48.6%	58.4%
MO- 1	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2024 election. Wesley Bell Andrew Jones
MO- 3	Blaine Luetkemeyer		2009	8th			30.2%	26.3%
MO- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Bethany Mann Bob Onder
MO- 4	Mark Alford		2023	1st			45.0%	39.3%
MO- 4	Jeanette Cass Mark Alford*
MO- 5	Emanuel Cleaver		2005	10th			24.6%	26.3%
MO- 5	Emanuel Cleaver* Sean Smith
MO- 6	Sam Graves		2001	12th			42.8%	37.1%
MO- 6	Pam May Sam Graves*
MO- 7	Eric Burlison		2023	1st			44.1%	41.4%
MO- 7	Missi Hesketh Eric Burlison*
MO- 8	Jason Smith		2013	6th			54.1%	51.3%
MO- 8	Randi McCallian Jason Smith*
MS- 1	Trent Kelly		2015	5th			45.9%	31.7%
MS- 1	Dianne Black Trent Kelly*
MS- 2	Bennie Thompson		1993	16th			20.2%	26.1%
MS- 2	Bennie Thompson* Ron Eller
MS- 3	Michael Guest		2019	3rd			41.5%	24.3%
MS- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
MS- 4	Mike Ezell		2023	1st			48.8%	38.0%
MS- 4	Craig Raybon Mike Ezell*
MT- 2	Matt Rosendale		2021	2nd			36.4%	26.8%
MT- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. John Driscoll Troy Downing
ND- AL	Kelly Armstrong		2019	3rd			24.6% ⁺	33.5%
ND- AL	Retiring to run for Governor of North Dakota Trygve Hammer Julie Fedorchak
NE- 1	Mike Flood		2022	2nd			15.8%	11.1%
NE- 1	Carol Blood Mike Flood*
NE- 3	Adrian Smith		2007	9th			62.5%	51.8%
NE- 3	Daniel Ebers Adrian Smith*
NJ- 1	Donald Norcross		2014	6th			27.1%	24.4%
NJ- 1	Donald Norcross* Theodore Liddell
NJ- 2	Jeff Van Drew		2019	3rd			18.9%	4.9%
NJ- 2	Joseph Salerno Jeff Van Drew*
NJ- 3	Andy Kim		2019	3rd			11.8%	14.0%
NJ- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Herb Conaway Rajesh Mohan
NJ- 4	Chris Smith		1981	22nd			35.6%	22.4%
NJ- 4	Matthew Jenkins Christopher Smith*
NJ- 5	Josh Gottheimer		2017	4th			10.4%	12.4%
NJ- 5	Josh Gottheimer* Mary Jo Guinchard
NJ- 6	Frank Pallone		1988	19th			16.4%	19.2%
NJ- 6	Frank Pallone* Scott Fegler
NJ- 8	Robert Menendez		2023	1st			48.7%	45.3%
NJ- 8	Rob Menendez* Anthony Valdes
NJ- 9	OPEN						11.3%	18.9%
NJ- 9	Rep. Bill Pascrell (D) died August 21 Nellie Pou Billy Prempeh
NJ- 10	LaMonica McIver		2024	1st			57.5%	62.0%
NJ- 10	LaMonica McIver* Carmen Bucco
NJ- 11	Mikie Sherrill		2019	3rd			18.8%	16.9%
NJ- 11	Mikie Sherrill* Joseph Belnome
NJ- 12	Bonnie Coleman		2015	5th			27.2%	34.4%
NJ- 12	Bonnie Watson Coleman* Darius Mayfield
NM- 1	Melanie Stansbury		2021	2nd			11.5%	14.4%
NM- 1	Melanie Stansbury* Steve Jones
NM- 3	Teresa Leger Fernandez		2021	2nd			16.3%	10.8%
NM- 3	Teresa Leger Fernandez* Sharon Clahchischilliage
NV- 2	Marc Amodei		2011	7th			21.9%	11.0%
NV- 2	Mark Amodei* Greg Kidd
OH- 2	Brad Wenstrup		2013	6th			49.0%	45.4%
OH- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Samantha Meadows David Taylor
OH- 3	Joyce Beatty		2013	6th			40.9%	43.8%
OH- 3	Joyce Beatty* Michael Young
OH- 4	Jim Jordan		2007	9th			38.3%	35.7%
OH- 4	Tamie Wilson Jim Jordan*
OH- 5	Bob Latta		2007	9th			33.8%	26.8%
OH- 5	Keith Mundy Bob Latta*
OH- 6	Michael Rulli		2024	1st			35.4%	28.7%
OH- 6	Michael Kripchak Michael Rulli
OH- 7	Max Miller		2023	1st			10.7%	9.2%
OH- 7	Matt Diemer Max Miller*
OH- 8	Warren Davidson		2016	5th			29.3%	22.0%
OH- 8	Vanessa Enoch Warren Davidson*
OH- 10	Michael Turner		2003	11th			23.3%	3.5%
OH- 10	Amy Cox Mike Turner*
OH- 11	Shontel Brown		2021	2nd			55.5%	57.6%
OH- 11	Shontel Brown* Alan Rapoport
OH- 12	Troy Balderson		2018	4th			38.5%	30.9%
OH- 12	Jerrad Christian Troy Balderson*
OH- 14	David Joyce		2013	6th			23.5%	14.9%
OH- 14	Brian Kenderes David Joyce*
OH- 15	Mike Carey		2021	2nd			13.9%	6.8%
OH- 15	Adam Miller Mike Carey*
OK- 1	Kevin Hern		2018	4th			26.5%	21.4%
OK- 1	Dennis Baker Kevin Hern*
OK- 2	Josh Brecheen		2023	1st			49.1%	53.4%
OK- 2	Brandon Wade Josh Brecheen*
OK- 3	Frank Lucas		1994	16th			49.1%	44.6%
OK- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
OK- 4	Tom Cole		2003	11th			33.5%	31.6%
OK- 4	Mary Brannon Tom Cole*
OK- 5	Stephanie Bice		2021	2nd			21.6%	16.9%
OK- 5	Madison Horn Stephanie Bice*
OR- 1	Suzanne Bonamici		2012	7th			36.0%	39.3%
OR- 1	Suzanne Bonamici* Bob Todd
OR- 2	Cliff Bentz		2021	2nd			35.2%	24.4%
OR- 2	Dan Ruby Cliff Bentz*
OR- 3	Earl Blumenauer		1996	15th			43.6%	47.3%
OR- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Maxine Dexter Joanna Harbour
PA- 2	Brendan Boyle		2015	5th			51.3%	42.7%
PA- 2	Brendan Boyle* Aaron Bashir
PA- 3	Dwight Evans		2016	5th			90.3% ⁺	80.9%
PA- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
PA- 4	Madeleine Dean		2019	3rd			22.6%	18.9%
PA- 4	Madeleine Dean* David Winkler
PA- 5	Mary Gay Scanlon		2018	4th			30.2%	32.3%
PA- 5	Mary Gay Scanlon* Alfeia Goodwin
PA- 6	Chrissy Houlahan		2019	3rd			16.6%	14.7%
PA- 6	Chrissy Houlahan* Neil Young
PA- 9	Dan Meuser		2019	3rd			38.6%	36.5%
PA- 9	Amanda Waldman Dan Meuser*
PA- 11	Lloyd Smucker		2017	4th			23.1%	21.3%
PA- 11	Jim Atkinson Lloyd Smucker*
PA- 12	Summer Lee		2023	1st			12.4%	19.9%
PA- 12	Summer Lee* James Hayes
PA- 13	John Joyce		2019	3rd			^*	45.2%
PA- 13	Beth Farnham John Joyce*
PA- 14	Guy Reschenthaler		2019	3rd			^*	31.5%
PA- 14	Chris Dziados Guy Reschenthaler*
PA- 15	Glenn Thompson		2009	8th			39.9%	37.0%
PA- 15	Zach Womer Glenn Thompson*
PA- 16	Mike Kelly		2011	7th			18.7%	20.6%
PA- 16	Preston Nouri Mike Kelly*
RI- 1	Gabe Amo		2023	1st			28.2%	29.1%
RI- 1	Gabe Amo* Allen Waters
RI- 2	Seth Magaziner		2023	1st			3.7%	13.7%
RI- 2	Seth Magaziner* Steven Corvi
SC- 1	Nancy Mace		2021	2nd			13.9%	8.6%
SC- 1	Michael Moore Nancy Mace*
SC- 2	Joe Wilson		2001	12th			20.2%	10.6%
SC- 2	David Robinson Joe Wilson*
SC- 3	Jeff Duncan		2011	7th			^*	37.5%
SC- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Bryon Best Sheri Biggs
SC- 4	William Timmons		2019	3rd			^*	18.5%
SC- 4	Kathryn Harvey William Timmons*
SC- 5	Ralph Norman		2017	4th			29.6%	18.2%
SC- 5	Evangeline Hundley Ralph Norman*
SC- 6	James Clyburn		1993	16th			24.2%	32.1%
SC- 6	James Clyburn* Duke Buckner
SC- 7	Russell Fry		2023	1st			29.7%	18.7%
SC- 7	Mal Hyman Russell Fry*
SD- AL	Dusty Johnson		2019	3rd			54.8% ⁺	26.2%
SD- AL	Sheryl Johnson Dusty Johnson*
TN- 1	Diana Harshbarger		2021	2nd			58.6%	54.2%
TN- 1	Kevin Jenkins Diana Harshbarger*
TN- 2	Tim Burchett		2019	3rd			35.8%	29.2%
TN- 2	Jane George Tim Burchett*
TN- 3	Chuck Fleischmann		2011	7th			38.1%	31.9%
TN- 3	Jack Allen Chuck Fleischmann*
TN- 4	Scott DesJarlais		2011	7th			44.8%	37.7%
TN- 4	Victoria Broderick Scott DesJarlais*
TN- 6	John Rose		2019	3rd			32.7%	29.1%
TN- 6	Lore Bergman John Rose*
TN- 7	Mark Green		2019	3rd			21.8%	15.1%
TN- 7	Megan Barry Mark Green*
TN- 8	David Kustoff		2017	4th			49.7%	37.3%
TN- 8	Sarah Freeman David Kustoff*
TN- 9	Steve Cohen		2007	9th			43.8%	48.1%
TN- 9	Steve Cohen Charlotte Bergmann
TX- 1	Nathaniel Moran		2023	1st			56.2%	45.9%
TX- 1	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 2	Dan Crenshaw		2019	3rd			31.8%	22.8%
TX- 2	Peter Filler Dan Crenshaw*
TX- 3	Keith Self		2023	1st			23.6%	14.4%
TX- 3	Sandeep Srivastava Keith Self*
TX- 4	Pat Fallon		2021	2nd			35.8%	26.0%
TX- 4	Simon Cardell Pat Fallon*
TX- 5	Lance Gooden		2019	3rd			30.0%	22.4%
TX- 5	Ruth Torres Lance Gooden*
TX- 6	Jake Ellzey		2021	2nd			^*	24.0%
TX- 6	John Love Jake Ellzey*
TX- 7	Lizzie Fletcher		2019	3rd			27.6%	29.7%
TX- 7	Lizzie Fletcher* Caroline Kane
TX- 8	Morgan Luttrell		2023	1st			37.5%	27.2%
TX- 8	Laura Jones Morgan Luttrell*
TX- 9	Al Green		2005	10th			53.4%	53.4%
TX- 9	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 10	Michael McCaul		2005	10th			29.0%	18.8%
TX- 10	Theresa Boisseau Michael McCaul*
TX- 11	August Pfluger		2021	2nd			^*	40.4%
TX- 11	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 12	Kay Granger		1997	14th			28.5%	18.1%
TX- 12	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Trey Hunt Craig Goldman
TX- 13	Ronny Jackson		2021	2nd			50.7%	45.5%
TX- 13	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 14	Randy Weber		2013	6th			40.3%	28.5%
TX- 14	Rhonda Hart Randy Weber*
TX- 16	Veronica Escobar		2019	3rd			26.9%	35.4%
TX- 16	Veronica Escobar* Irene Armendariz-Jackson
TX- 17	Pete Sessions		2021	2nd			33.0%	22.5%
TX- 17	Mark Lorenzen Pete Sessions*
TX- 18	OPEN						44.5%	48.6%
TX- 18	Sylvester Turner Lana Centonze
TX- 19	Jodey Arrington		2017	4th			70.6% ⁺	46.2%
TX- 19	Jodey Arrington* Bernard Johnson
TX- 20	Joaquin Castro		2013	6th			36.9%	33.1%
TX- 20	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 21	Chip Roy		2019	3rd			25.7%	19.7%
TX- 21	Kristin Hook Chip Roy*
TX- 22	Troy Nehls		2021	2nd			26.7%	16.0%
TX- 22	Marquette Greene-Scott Troy Nehls*
TX- 23	Tony Gonzales		2021	2nd			17.1%	7.2%
TX- 23	Santos Limon Tony Gonzales*
TX- 24	Beth Van Duyne		2021	2nd			19.5%	12.3%
TX- 24	Sam Eppler Beth Van Duyne*
TX- 25	Roger Williams		2013	6th			^*	31.2%
TX- 25	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 26	Michael Burgess		2003	11th			38.6% ⁺	18.5%
TX- 26	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Ernest Lineberger Brandon Gill
TX- 27	Michael Cloud		2018	4th			28.9%	22.4%
TX- 27	Tanya Lloyd Michael Cloud*
TX- 29	Sylvia Garcia		2019	3rd			42.8%	36.7%
TX- 29	Sylvia Garcia* Alan Garza
TX- 30	Jasmine Crockett		2023	1st			53.0%	56.7%
TX- 30	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 31	John Carter		2003	11th			^*	20.3%
TX- 31	Stuart Whitlow John Carter*
TX- 32	Colin Allred		2019	3rd			30.7%	33.0%
TX- 32	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Julie Johnson Darrell Day
TX- 33	Marc Veasey		2013	6th			46.4%	49.9%
TX- 33	Marc Veasey* Patrick Gillespie
TX- 35	Greg Casar		2023	1st			45.2%	45.2%
TX- 35	Greg Casar* Steven Wright
TX- 36	Brian Babin		2015	5th			38.9%	31.6%
TX- 36	Dayna Steele Brian Babin*
TX- 37	Lloyd Doggett		1995	15th			55.8%	52.8%
TX- 37	Lloyd Doggett* Jenny Garcia Sharon
TX- 38	Wesley Hunt		2023	1st			27.4%	18.1%
TX- 38	Melissa McDonough Wesley Hunt*
UT- 1	Blake Moore		2021	2nd			33.9%	19.9%
UT- 1	Bill Campbell Blake Moore*
UT- 2	Celeste Maloy		2023	1st			25.7%	17.1%
UT- 2	Nathaniel Woodward Celeste Maloy*
UT- 3	John Curtis		2017	4th			34.9%	19.2%
UT- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Glenn Wright Mike Kennedy*
UT- 4	Burgess Owens		2021	2nd			28.7%	25.9%
UT- 4	Katrina Fallick-Wang Burgess Owens*
VA- 1	Rob Wittman		2007	9th			13.0%	6.2%
VA- 1	Leslie Mehta Rob Wittman*
VA- 3	Bobby Scott		1993	16th			34.6%	38.4%
VA- 3	Bobby Scott* John Sitka
VA- 4	Jennifer McClellan		2023	1st			30.0%	35.7%
VA- 4	Jennifer McClellan* Bill Moher
VA- 5	Bob Good		2021	2nd			15.3%	8.3%
VA- 5	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2024 election. Gloria Witt John McGuire
VA- 6	Ben Cline		2019	3rd			29.0%	21.5%
VA- 6	Ken Mitchell Ben Cline*
VA- 8	Don Beyer		2015	5th			48.8%	56.0%
VA- 8	Don Beyer* Jerry Torres
VA- 9	Morgan Griffith		2011	7th			46.7%	41.9%
VA- 9	Karen Baker Morgan Griffith*
VA- 10	Jennifer Wexton		2019	3rd			6.5%	18.1%
VA- 10	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Suhas Subramanyam Mike Clancy
VA- 11	Gerry Connolly		2009	8th			33.7%	41.3%
VA- 11	Gerry Connolly* Mike Van Meter
VT- AL	Becca Balint		2023	1st			33.6%	35.6%
VT- AL	Becca Balint* Mark Coester
WA- 1	Suzan DelBene		2012	7th			27.1%	30.6%
WA- 1	Suzan DelBene* Jeb Brewer
WA- 2	Rick Larsen		2001	12th			20.3%	22.9%
WA- 2	Rick Larsen* Cody Hart
WA- 4	Dan Newhouse		2015	5th			35.3%	17.0%
WA- 4	Dan Newhouse* Jerrod Sessler
WA- 5	Cathy McMorris Rodgers		2005	10th			19.3%	10.0%
WA- 5	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Carmela Conroy Michael Baumgartner
WA- 6	Derek Kilmer		2013	6th			20.1%	17.2%
WA- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Emily Randall Drew MacEwen
WA- 7	Pramila Jayapal		2017	4th			71.2%	75.5%
WA- 7	Pramila Jayapal* Dan Alexander
WA- 9	Adam Smith		1997	14th			43.4%	45.2%
WA- 9	Melissa Chaudhry Adam Smith*
WA- 10	Marilyn Strickland		2021	2nd			14.1%	17.7%
WA- 10	Marilyn Strickland* Don Hewett
WI- 2	Mark Pocan		2013	6th			44.1%	41.8%
WI- 2	Mark Pocan* Erik Olsen
WI- 4	Gwen Moore		2005	10th			52.7%	53.1%
WI- 4	Gwen Moore* Tim Rogers
WI- 5	Scott Fitzgerald		2021	2nd			28.8%	22.9%
WI- 5	Ben Steinhoff Scott Fitzgerald*
WI- 6	Glenn Grothman		2015	5th			^*	15.7%
WI- 6	John Zarbano Glenn Grothman*
WI- 7	Tom Tiffany		2020	3rd			23.8%	20.0%
WI- 7	Kyle Kilbourn Tom Tiffany*
WI- 8	OPEN						56.5% ⁺	15.5%
WI- 8	Kristin Lyerly Tony Wied
WV- 1	Carol Miller		2019	3rd			37.9%	40.9%
WV- 1	Chris Reed Carol Miller*
WV- 2	Alex Mooney		2015	5th			31.1%	37.0%
WV- 2	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Steve Wendelin Riley Moore
WY- AL	Harriet Hageman		2023	1st			43.8%	43.7%
WY- AL	Kyle Cameron Harriet Hageman*
District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Predictions		Margin of Victory
District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Consensus	Map	House^(a)	President^(b)
Filtered list below matches districts currently visible in map window.
AK- AL	Mary Peltola		2022	2nd			9.9% ^y	10.1%
AK- AL	Eric Hafner Mary Peltola* Nick Begich John Howe
AL- 2	OPEN						N/A	12.4%
AL- 2	Due to redistricting, Barry Moore ran in AL-01 GOP primary. Shomari Figures Caroleene Dobson
AZ- 1	David Schweikert		2011	7th			0.9%	1.5%
AZ- 1	Amish Shah David Schweikert*
AZ- 2	Eli Crane		2023	1st			7.8%	7.9%
AZ- 2	Jonathan Nez Eli Crane*
AZ- 6	Juan Ciscomani		2023	1st			1.5%	0.1%
AZ- 6	Kirsten Engel Juan Ciscomani*
CA- 3	Kevin Kiley		2023	1st			7.2%	1.8%
CA- 3	Jessica Morse Kevin Kiley*
CA- 9	Josh Harder		2019	3rd			9.6%	12.6%
CA- 9	Josh Harder* Kevin Lincoln
CA- 13	John Duarte		2023	1st			0.4%	10.9%
CA- 13	Adam Gray John Duarte*
CA- 22	David Valadao		2021	2nd			3.0%	12.9%
CA- 22	Rudy Salas David Valadao*
CA- 27	Mike Garcia		2020	3rd			6.4%	12.4%
CA- 27	George Whitesides Mike Garcia*
CA- 40	Young Kim		2021	2nd			13.6%	1.9%
CA- 40	Joe Kerr Young Kim*
CA- 41	Ken Calvert		1993	16th			4.6%	1.1%
CA- 41	Will Rollins Ken Calvert*
CA- 45	Michelle Steel		2021	2nd			4.8%	6.2%
CA- 45	Derek Tran Michelle Steel*
CA- 47	Katie Porter		2019	3rd			3.4%	11.1%
CA- 47	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Dave Min Scott Baugh
CA- 49	Mike Levin		2019	3rd			5.2%	11.4%
CA- 49	Mike Levin* Matt Gunderson
CO- 3	Lauren Boebert		2021	2nd			0.2%	8.3%
CO- 3	Running in CO-04 Adam Frisch Jeff Hurd
CO- 8	Yadira Caraveo		2023	1st			0.7%	4.6%
CO- 8	Yadira Caraveo* Gabe Evans
CT- 5	Jahana Hayes		2019	3rd			0.8%	10.7%
CT- 5	Jahana Hayes* George Logan
FL- 7	Cory Mills		2023	1st			17.1%	5.5%
FL- 7	Jennifer Adams Cory Mills*
FL- 9	Darren Soto		2017	4th			7.3%	17.4%
FL- 9	Darren Soto* Thomas Chalifoux
FL- 13	Anna Luna		2023	1st			8.1%	6.8%
FL- 13	Whitney Fox Anna Paulina Luna*
FL- 15	Laurel Lee		2023	1st			17.1%	3.2%
FL- 15	Patricia Kemp Laurel Lee*
FL- 27	Maria Salazar		2021	2nd			14.6%	0.3%
FL- 27	Lucia Baez-Geller Maria Elvira Salazar*
IA- 1	Mariannette Miller-Meeks		2021	2nd			6.8%	2.9%
IA- 1	Christina Bohannan Mariannette Miller-Meeks*
IA- 2	Ashley Hinson		2021	2nd			8.2%	4.4%
IA- 2	Sarah Corkery Ashley Hinson*
IA- 3	Zach Nunn		2023	1st			0.7%	0.3%
IA- 3	Lanon Baccam Zach Nunn*
IL- 17	Eric Sorensen		2023	1st			4.0%	7.8%
IL- 17	Eric Sorensen* Joe McGraw
IN- 1	Frank Mrvan		2021	2nd			5.6%	8.4%
IN- 1	Frank Mrvan* Randy Niemeyer
KS- 3	Sharice Davids		2019	3rd			12.2%	4.5%
KS- 3	Sharice Davids* Prasanth Reddy
LA- 6	Garret Graves		2015	5th			N/A	19.7%
LA- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Cleo Fields Elbert Guillory
MD- 6	David Trone		2019	3rd			9.6%	9.8%
MD- 6	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate April McClain Delaney Neil Parrott
ME- 2	Jared Golden		2019	3rd			6.1% ^y	6.1%
ME- 2	Jared Golden* Austin Theriault
MI- 3	Hillary Scholten		2023	1st			12.9%	8.5%
MI- 3	Hillary Scholten* Paul Hudson
MI- 7	Elissa Slotkin		2019	3rd			5.4%	0.5%
MI- 7	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Curtis Hertel Tom Barrett
MI- 8	Dan Kildee		2013	6th			10.3%	2.0%
MI- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Kristen McDonald Rivet Paul Junge
MI- 10	John James		2023	1st			0.5%	1.0%
MI- 10	Carl Marlinga John James*
MN- 2	Angie Craig		2019	3rd			5.2%	7.2%
MN- 2	Angie Craig* Joe Teirab
MO- 2	Ann Wagner		2013	6th			11.9%	7.8%
MO- 2	Ray Hartmann Ann Wagner*
MT- 1	Ryan Zinke		2023	1st			3.2%	6.9%
MT- 1	Monica Tranel Ryan Zinke*
NC- 1	Don Davis		2023	1st			N/A	1.7%
NC- 1	Don Davis* Laurie Buckhout
NC- 6	Kathy Manning		2021	2nd			N/A	16.3%
NC- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Addison McDowell
NC- 13	Wiley Nickel		2023	1st			N/A	17.3%
NC- 13	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Frank Pierce Brad Knott
NC- 14	Jeff Jackson		2023	1st			N/A	16.1%
NC- 14	Retiring to run for NC Attorney General Pam Genant Tim Moore
NE- 2	Don Bacon		2017	4th			2.7%	6.3%
NE- 2	Tony Vargas Don Bacon*
NH- 1	Chris Pappas		2019	3rd			8.1%	5.9%
NH- 1	Chris Pappas* Russell Prescott
NH- 2	Ann Kuster		2013	6th			11.7%	8.8%
NH- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Maggie Goodlander Lily Tang Williams
NJ- 7	Tom Kean		2023	1st			2.8%	3.9%
NJ- 7	Sue Altman Thomas Kean Jr.*
NM- 2	Gabriel Vasquez		2023	1st			0.7%	5.9%
NM- 2	Gabe Vasquez* Yvette Herrell
NV- 1	Dina Titus		2013	6th			5.6%	8.5%
NV- 1	Dina Titus* Mark Robertson
NV- 3	Susie Lee		2019	3rd			4.0%	6.6%
NV- 3	Susie Lee* Drew Johnson
NV- 4	Steven Horsford		2019	3rd			4.8%	8.3%
NV- 4	Steven Horsford* John Lee
NY- 1	Nicholas LaLota		2023	1st			N/A	1.8%
NY- 1	John Avlon Nick LaLota*
NY- 3	Tom Suozzi		2024	1st			N/A	11.3%
NY- 3	Tom Suozzi* Michael LiPetri
NY- 4	Anthony D'Esposito		2023	1st			N/A	14.5%
NY- 4	Laura Gillen Anthony D'Esposito*
NY- 17	Michael Lawler		2023	1st			N/A	10.1%
NY- 17	Mondaire Jones Mike Lawler*
NY- 18	Pat Ryan		2022	2nd			N/A	9.1%
NY- 18	Pat Ryan* Alison Esposito
NY- 19	Marc Molinaro		2023	1st			N/A	4.5%
NY- 19	Josh Riley Marc Molinaro*
NY- 22	Brandon Williams		2023	1st			N/A	11.4%
NY- 22	John Mannion Brandon Williams*
OH- 1	Greg Landsman		2023	1st			5.5%	8.5%
OH- 1	Greg Landsman* Orlando Sonza
OH- 9	Marcy Kaptur		1983	21st			13.3%	2.9%
OH- 9	Marcy Kaptur* Derek Merrin
OH- 13	Emilia Sykes		2023	1st			5.4%	2.8%
OH- 13	Emilia Sykes* Kevin Coughlin
OR- 4	Val Hoyle		2023	1st			7.5%	12.7%
OR- 4	Val Hoyle* Monique DeSpain
OR- 5	Lori Chavez-DeRemer		2023	1st			2.1%	8.9%
OR- 5	Janelle Bynum Lori Chavez-DeRemer*
OR- 6	Andrea Salinas		2023	1st			2.5%	13.2%
OR- 6	Andrea Salinas* Mike Erickson
PA- 1	Brian Fitzpatrick		2017	4th			9.7%	4.6%
PA- 1	Ashley Ehasz Brian Fitzpatrick*
PA- 7	Susan Wild		2018	4th			2.0%	0.6%
PA- 7	Susan Wild* Ryan Mackenzie
PA- 8	Matt Cartwright		2013	6th			2.4%	2.9%
PA- 8	Matt Cartwright* Robert Bresnahan
PA- 10	Scott Perry		2013	6th			7.7%	4.1%
PA- 10	Janelle Stelson Scott Perry*
PA- 17	Chris Deluzio		2023	1st			6.8%	5.8%
PA- 17	Chris Deluzio* Rob Mercuri
TN- 5	Andy Ogles		2023	1st			13.5%	11.3%
TN- 5	Maryam Abolfazli Andy Ogles
TX- 15	Monica De La Cruz		2023	1st			8.5%	2.9%
TX- 15	Michelle Vallejo Monica De La Cruz*
TX- 28	Henry Cuellar		2005	10th			13.3%	7.0%
TX- 28	Henry Cuellar* Jay Furman
TX- 34	Vicente Gonzalez		2017	4th			8.5%	15.5%
TX- 34	Vicente Gonzalez* Mayra Flores
VA- 2	Jen Kiggans		2023	1st			3.4%	1.9%
VA- 2	Missy Smasal Jen Kiggans*
VA- 7	Abigail Spanberger		2019	3rd			4.7%	6.8%
VA- 7	Retiring to run for Governor of Virginia in 2025 Eugene Vindman Derrick Anderson
WA- 3	Marie Perez		2023	1st			0.8%	4.2%
WA- 3	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez* Joe Kent
WA- 8	Kim Schrier		2019	3rd			6.9%	6.7%
WA- 8	Kim Schrier* Carmen Goers
WI- 1	Bryan Steil		2019	3rd			8.9%	2.0%
WI- 1	Peter Barca Bryan Steil*
WI- 3	Derrick Van Orden		2023	1st			3.7%	4.7%
WI- 3	Rebecca Cooke Derrick Van Orden*
The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party.
AL- 1	Barry Moore		2021	2nd			N/A	50.4%
AL- 1	Moore defeated Jerry Carl (current AL-01) after redistricting Tom Holmes Barry Moore*
AL- 3	Mike Rogers		2003	11th			N/A	41.0%
AL- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
AL- 4	Robert Aderholt		1997	14th			N/A	62.1%
AL- 4	Incumbent is unopposed
AL- 5	Dale Strong		2023	1st			N/A	27.1%
AL- 5	Incumbent is unopposed
AL- 6	Gary Palmer		2015	5th			N/A	38.0%
AL- 6	Elizabeth Anderson Gary Palmer*
AL- 7	Terri Sewell		2011	7th			N/A	28.9%
AL- 7	Terri Sewell* Robin Litaker
AR- 1	Rick Crawford		2011	7th			47.6%	40.9%
AR- 1	Rodney Govens Rick Crawford*
AR- 2	French Hill		2015	5th			24.8%	13.1%
AR- 2	Marcus Jones French Hill*
AR- 3	Steve Womack		2011	7th			30.8%	23.4%
AR- 3	Caitlin Draper Steve Womack*
AR- 4	Bruce Westerman		2015	5th			44.8%	35.2%
AR- 4	Risie Howard Bruce Westerman*
AZ- 3	Ruben Gallego		2015	5th			54.0%	50.6%
AZ- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Yassamin Ansari Jeff Zink
AZ- 4	Greg Stanton		2019	3rd			12.2%	10.3%
AZ- 4	Greg Stanton* Kelly Cooper
AZ- 5	Andy Biggs		2017	4th			19.3%	16.4%
AZ- 5	Katrina Schaffner Andy Biggs*
AZ- 7	Raul Grijalva		2003	11th			29.0%	32.8%
AZ- 7	Raul Grijalva* Daniel Butierez
AZ- 8	Debbie Lesko		2018	4th			^*	13.5%
AZ- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Gregory Whitten Abe Hamadeh
AZ- 9	Paul Gosar		2011	7th			^*	25.8%
AZ- 9	Quacy Smith Paul Gosar*
CA- 1	Doug LaMalfa		2013	6th			24.2%	19.1%
CA- 1	Rose Yee Doug LaMalfa*
CA- 2	Jared Huffman		2013	6th			48.8%	49.5%
CA- 2	Jared Huffman* Chris Coulombe
CA- 4	Mike Thompson		1999	13th			35.6%	36.6%
CA- 4	Mike Thompson* John Munn
CA- 5	Tom McClintock		2009	8th			22.6%	12.3%
CA- 5	Michael Barkley Tom McClintock*
CA- 6	Ami Bera		2013	6th			11.8%	18.4%
CA- 6	Ami Bera* Christine Bish
CA- 7	Doris Matsui		2005	10th			36.6%	37.2%
CA- 7	Doris Matsui* Tom Silva
CA- 8	John Garamendi		2009	8th			51.4%	54.0%
CA- 8	John Garamendi* Rudy Recile
CA- 10	Mark DeSaulnier		2015	5th			57.8% ⁺	39.4%
CA- 10	Mark DeSaulnier* Katherine Piccinini
CA- 11	Nancy Pelosi		1987	19th			68.0%	74.5%
CA- 11	Nancy Pelosi* Bruce Lou
CA- 12	Barbara Lee		1998	14th			81.0%	80.7%
CA- 12	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Lateefah Simon Jennifer Tran
CA- 14	Eric Swalwell		2013	6th			38.6%	45.5%
CA- 14	Eric Swalwell* Vin Kruttiventi
CA- 15	Kevin Mullin		2023	1st			^{^}	57.3%
CA- 15	Kevin Mullin* Anna Kramer
CA- 16	Anna Eshoo		1993	16th			^{^}	53.0%
CA- 16	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Sam Liccardo Evan Low
CA- 17	Ro Khanna		2017	4th			41.8%	47.4%
CA- 17	Ro Khanna* Anita Chen
CA- 18	Zoe Lofgren		1995	15th			31.8%	44.1%
CA- 18	Zoe Lofgren* Peter Hernandez
CA- 19	Jimmy Panetta		2017	4th			37.4%	39.6%
CA- 19	Jimmy Panetta* Jason Anderson
CA- 20	Vince Fong		2024	1st			34.4%	24.9%
CA- 20	Mike Boudreaux Vince Fong*
CA- 21	Jim Costa		2013	6th			8.4%	20.3%
CA- 21	Jim Costa* Michael Maher
CA- 23	Jay Obernolte		2021	2nd			22.0%	9.8%
CA- 23	Derek Marshall Jay Obernolte*
CA- 24	Salud Carbajal		2017	4th			21.2%	29.1%
CA- 24	Salud Carbajal* Thomas Cole
CA- 25	Raul Ruiz		2013	6th			14.8%	15.3%
CA- 25	Raul Ruiz* Ian Weeks
CA- 26	Julia Brownley		2013	6th			9.0%	20.0%
CA- 26	Julia Brownley* Michael Koslow
CA- 28	Judy Chu		2009	8th			32.4%	34.2%
CA- 28	Judy Chu* April Verlato
CA- 29	Tony Cardenas		2013	6th			^{^}	51.3%
CA- 29	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Luz Rivas Benito Bernal
CA- 30	Adam Schiff		2001	12th			^{^}	46.2%
CA- 30	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Laura Friedman Alex Balekian
CA- 31	Grace Napolitano		1999	13th			19.0%	31.1%
CA- 31	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Gil Cisneros Daniel Martinez
CA- 32	Brad Sherman		1997	14th			38.4%	40.8%
CA- 32	Brad Sherman* Larry Thompson
CA- 33	Pete Aguilar		2015	5th			15.4%	25.3%
CA- 33	Pete Aguilar* Tom Herman
CA- 34	Jimmy Gomez		2017	4th			^{^}	64.2%
CA- 34	Jimmy Gomez* David Kim
CA- 35	Norma Torres		2015	5th			14.8%	27.6%
CA- 35	Norma Torres* Mike Cargile
CA- 36	Ted Lieu		2015	5th			39.6%	44.1%
CA- 36	Ted Lieu* Melissa Toomim
CA- 37	Sydney Kamlager		2023	1st			^{^}	73.3%
CA- 37	Sydney Kamlager-Dove* Juan Rey
CA- 38	Linda Sanchez		2003	11th			16.2%	30.2%
CA- 38	Linda Sanchez* Eric Ching
CA- 39	Mark Takano		2013	6th			15.4%	26.1%
CA- 39	Mark Takano* David Serpa
CA- 42	Robert Garcia		2023	1st			36.8%	45.8%
CA- 42	Robert Garcia* John Briscoe
CA- 43	Maxine Waters		1991	17th			54.6%	63.8%
CA- 43	Maxine Waters* Steve Williams
CA- 44	Nanette Barragan		2017	4th			44.4%	48.2%
CA- 44	Nanette Barragan* Roger Groh
CA- 46	Lou Correa		2017	4th			23.6%	30.4%
CA- 46	Lou Correa* David Pan
CA- 48	Darrell Issa		2021	2nd			20.8%	12.3%
CA- 48	Stephen Houlahan Darrell Issa*
CA- 50	Scott Peters		2013	6th			25.6%	33.1%
CA- 50	Scott Peters* Peter Bono
CA- 51	Sara Jacobs		2021	2nd			23.8%	27.3%
CA- 51	Sara Jacobs* Bill Wells
CA- 52	Juan Vargas		2013	6th			33.4%	36.9%
CA- 52	Juan Vargas* Justin Lee
CO- 1	Diana DeGette		1997	14th			62.8%	61.3%
CO- 1	Diana DeGette* Valdamar Archuleta
CO- 2	Joe Neguse		2019	3rd			42.0%	39.9%
CO- 2	Joe Neguse* Marshall Dawson
CO- 4	Greg Lopez		2024	1st			24.4%	18.6%
CO- 4	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Trisha Calvarese Lauren Boebert*
CO- 5	Doug Lamborn		2007	9th			15.7%	10.1%
CO- 5	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. River Gassen Jeff Crank
CO- 6	Jason Crow		2019	3rd			23.2%	23.8%
CO- 6	Jason Crow* John Fabbricatore
CO- 7	Brittany Pettersen		2023	1st			15.0%	14.2%
CO- 7	Brittany Pettersen* Sergei Matveyuk
CT- 1	John Larson		1999	13th			23.8%	28.1%
CT- 1	John Larson* Jim Griffin
CT- 2	Joe Courtney		2007	9th			18.1%	11.4%
CT- 2	Joe Courtney* Mike France
CT- 3	Rosa DeLauro		1991	17th			16.2%	19.7%
CT- 3	Rosa DeLauro* Michael Massey
CT- 4	James Himes		2009	8th			18.8%	31.0%
CT- 4	Jim Himes* Michael Goldstein
DE- AL	Lisa Rochester		2017	4th			12.5%	19.0%
DE- AL	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Sarah McBride John Whalen
FL- 1	Matt Gaetz		2017	4th			35.7%	32.3%
FL- 1	Gay Valimont Matt Gaetz*
FL- 2	Neal Dunn		2017	4th			19.6%	11.0%
FL- 2	Yen Bailey Neal Dunn*
FL- 3	Kat Cammack		2021	2nd			26.2%	14.1%
FL- 3	Tom Wells Kat Cammack*
FL- 4	Aaron Bean		2023	1st			20.9%	6.7%
FL- 4	LaShonda Holloway Aaron Bean*
FL- 5	John Rutherford		2017	4th			^*	15.8%
FL- 5	Jay McGovern John Rutherford*
FL- 6	Michael Waltz		2019	3rd			50.7% ⁺	23.7%
FL- 6	James Stockton Michael Waltz*
FL- 8	Bill Posey		2009	8th			29.8%	17.6%
FL- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Sandy Kennedy Mike Haridopolos
FL- 10	Maxwell Frost		2023	1st			19.6%	31.8%
FL- 10	Maxwell Frost* Willie Montague
FL- 11	Dan Webster		2017	4th			27.7%	10.9%
FL- 11	Barbie Harden Hall Daniel Webster*
FL- 12	Gus Bilirakis		2007	9th			40.8%	28.7%
FL- 12	Rock Aboujaoude Gus Bilirakis*
FL- 14	Kathy Castor		2007	9th			13.8%	19.1%
FL- 14	Kathy Castor* Rocky Rochford
FL- 16	Vern Buchanan		2007	9th			24.3%	8.9%
FL- 16	Jan Schneider Vern Buchanan*
FL- 17	Greg Steube		2019	3rd			28.3%	16.0%
FL- 17	Manny Lopez Greg Steube*
FL- 18	Scott Franklin		2021	2nd			49.4% ⁺	22.8%
FL- 18	Andrea Kale Scott Franklin*
FL- 19	Byron Donalds		2021	2nd			36.0%	21.0%
FL- 19	Kari Lerner Byron Donalds*
FL- 20	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick		2021	2nd			44.6%	52.4%
FL- 20	Incumbent is unopposed
FL- 21	Brian Mast		2017	4th			27.0%	9.4%
FL- 21	Thomas Witkop Brian Mast*
FL- 22	Lois Frankel		2013	6th			10.2%	17.6%
FL- 22	Lois Frankel* Dan Franzese
FL- 23	Jared Moskowitz		2023	1st			4.8%	13.2%
FL- 23	Jared Moskowitz* Joe Kaufman
FL- 24	Frederica Wilson		2011	7th			43.6%	49.1%
FL- 24	Frederica Wilson* Jesus Navarro
FL- 25	Debbie Wasserman Schultz		2005	10th			10.2%	19.9%
FL- 25	Debbie Wasserman Schultz* Chris Eddy
FL- 26	Mario Diaz-Balart		2003	11th			41.7%	18.3%
FL- 26	Joey Atkins Mario Diaz-Balart*
FL- 28	Carlos Gimenez		2021	2nd			27.4%	6.3%
FL- 28	Phil Ehr Carlos Gimenez*
GA- 1	Buddy Carter		2015	5th			N/A	13.4%
GA- 1	Patti Hewitt Buddy Carter*
GA- 2	Sanford Bishop Jr.		1993	16th			N/A	10.3%
GA- 2	Sanford Bishop* Wayne Johnson
GA- 3	Drew Ferguson		2017	4th			N/A	30.1%
GA- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Maura Keller Brian Jack
GA- 4	Hank Johnson		2007	9th			N/A	57.7%
GA- 4	Hank Johnson* Eugene Yu
GA- 5	Nikema Williams		2021	2nd			N/A	72.7%
GA- 5	Nikema Williams* John Salvesen
GA- 6	Lucy McBath		2019	3rd			N/A	49.5%
GA- 6	Switched from GA-07 after redistricting Lucy McBath* Jeff Criswell
GA- 7	Rich McCormick		2023	1st			N/A	19.5%
GA- 7	Switched from GA-06 after redistricting Bob Christian Rich McCormick*
GA- 8	Austin Scott		2011	7th			N/A	27.6%
GA- 8	Darrius Butler Austin Scott*
GA- 9	Andrew Clyde		2021	2nd			N/A	32.3%
GA- 9	Tambrei Cash Andrew Clyde*
GA- 10	Mike Collins		2023	1st			N/A	21.2%
GA- 10	Lexy Doherty Mike Collins*
GA- 11	Barry Loudermilk		2015	5th			N/A	21.9%
GA- 11	Katy Stamper Barry Loudermilk*
GA- 12	Rick Allen		2015	5th			N/A	10.1%
GA- 12	Elizabeth Johnson Rick Allen*
GA- 13	David Scott		2003	11th			N/A	40.6%
GA- 13	David Scott* Jonathan Chavez
GA- 14	Marjorie Taylor Greene		2021	2nd			N/A	37.5%
GA- 14	Shawn Harris Marjorie Taylor Greene*
HI- 1	Ed Case		2019	3rd			47.4%	29.4%
HI- 1	Ed Case* Patrick Largey
HI- 2	Jill Tokuda		2023	1st			26.9%	29.5%
HI- 2	Jill Tokuda* Steven Bond
IA- 4	Randy Feenstra		2021	2nd			36.9%	26.0%
IA- 4	Ryan Melton Randy Feenstra*
ID- 1	Russ Fulcher		2019	3rd			45.0%	38.2%
ID- 1	Kaylee Peterson Russ Fulcher*
ID- 2	Michael Simpson		1999	13th			27.2%	22.9%
ID- 2	David Roth Mike Simpson*
IL- 1	Jonathan Jackson		2023	1st			34.1%	42.4%
IL- 1	Jonathan Jackson* Marcus Lewis
IL- 2	Robin Kelly		2013	6th			34.3%	40.0%
IL- 2	Robin Kelly* Ashley Ramos
IL- 3	Delia Ramirez		2023	1st			37.0%	41.4%
IL- 3	Delia Ramirez* John Booras
IL- 4	Jesus Garcia		2019	3rd			40.4%	46.4%
IL- 4	Chuy Garcia* Lupe Castillo
IL- 5	Mike Quigley		2009	8th			40.8%	39.6%
IL- 5	Mike Quigley* Tommy Hanson
IL- 6	Sean Casten		2019	3rd			8.7%	10.9%
IL- 6	Sean Casten* Niki Conforti
IL- 7	Danny Davis		1997	14th			^*	72.8%
IL- 7	Danny Davis* Chad Koppie
IL- 8	Raja Krishnamoorthi		2017	4th			13.8%	15.4%
IL- 8	Raja Krishnamoorthi* Mark Rice
IL- 9	Jan Schakowsky		1999	13th			43.4%	41.6%
IL- 9	Jan Schakowsky* Seth Cohen*
IL- 10	Brad Schneider		2017	4th			26.0%	25.9%
IL- 10	Brad Schneider* Jim Carris
IL- 11	Bill Foster		2013	6th			12.9%	15.3%
IL- 11	Bill Foster* Jerry Evans
IL- 12	Mike Bost		2015	5th			50.0%	42.8%
IL- 12	Brian Roberts Mike Bost*
IL- 13	Nikki Budzinski		2023	1st			13.2%	11.2%
IL- 13	Nikki Budzinksi* Joshua Loyd
IL- 14	Lauren Underwood		2019	3rd			8.3%	11.5%
IL- 14	Lauren Underwood* Jim Marter
IL- 15	Mary Miller		2021	2nd			42.2%	38.7%
IL- 15	Incumbent is unopposed
IL- 16	Darin LaHood		2015	5th			32.7%	21.5%
IL- 16	Incumbent is unopposed
IN- 2	Rudy Yakym		2022	2nd			32.2%	22.6%
IN- 2	Lori Camp Rudy Yakym*
IN- 3	Jim Banks		2017	4th			35.2%	29.9%
IN- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Kiley Adolph Marlin Stutzman
IN- 4	Jim Baird		2019	3rd			36.4%	29.1%
IN- 4	Derrick Holder Jim Baird*
IN- 5	Victoria Spartz		2021	2nd			22.2%	15.9%
IN- 5	Deborah Pickett Victoria Spartz*
IN- 6	Greg Pence		2019	3rd			35.0%	31.9%
IN- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Cynthia Wirth Jefferson Shreve
IN- 7	Andre Carson		2008	9th			36.4%	42.4%
IN- 7	Andre Carson* John Schmitz
IN- 8	Larry Bucshon		2011	7th			34.2%	32.8%
IN- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Erik Hurt Mark Messmer
IN- 9	Erin Houchin		2023	1st			30.0%	27.3%
IN- 9	Timothy Peck Erin Houchin*
KS- 1	Tracey Mann		2021	2nd			35.3%	29.6%
KS- 1	Paul Buskirk Tracey Mann*
KS- 2	Jake LaTurner		2021	2nd			15.2%	16.3%
KS- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Nancy Boyda Derek Schmidt
KS- 4	Ron Estes		2017	4th			26.7%	21.7%
KS- 4	Esau Freeman Ron Estes*
KY- 1	James Comer		2016	5th			49.8%	42.7%
KY- 1	Erin Marshall James Comer*
KY- 2	Brett Guthrie		2009	8th			43.8%	36.7%
KY- 2	Hank Linderman Brett Guthrie*
KY- 3	Morgan McGarvey		2023	1st			24.0%	22.3%
KY- 3	Morgan McGarvey* Mike Craven
KY- 4	Thomas Massie		2012	7th			34.0%	32.5%
KY- 4	Incumbent is unopposed
KY- 5	Hal Rogers		1981	22nd			64.4%	59.4%
KY- 5	Incumbent is unopposed
KY- 6	Andy Barr		2013	6th			30.2%	11.0%
KY- 6	Randy Cravens Andy Barr*
LA- 1	Steve Scalise		2008	9th			N/A	38.2%
LA- 1	Steve Scalise*
LA- 2	Troy Carter		2021	2nd			N/A	35.9%
LA- 2	Troy Carter*
LA- 3	Clay Higgins		2017	4th			N/A	42.3%
LA- 3	Clay Higgins*
LA- 4	Mike Johnson		2017	4th			N/A	49.2%
LA- 4	Mike Johnson*
LA- 5	Julia Letlow		2021	2nd			N/A	33.7%
LA- 5	Julia Letlow*
MA- 1	Richard Neal		1989	18th			23.1%	21.7%
MA- 1	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 2	James McGovern		1997	14th			32.5%	30.8%
MA- 2	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 3	Lori Trahan		2019	3rd			27.1%	27.4%
MA- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 4	Jake Auchincloss		2021	2nd			^*	28.5%
MA- 4	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 5	Katherine Clark		2013	6th			48.1%	51.1%
MA- 5	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 6	Seth Moulton		2015	5th			27.7%	27.6%
MA- 6	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 7	Ayanna Pressley		2019	3rd			69.5%	72.4%
MA- 7	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 8	Stephen Lynch		2001	12th			39.6%	35.5%
MA- 8	Stephen Lynch* Robert Burke
MA- 9	William Keating		2011	7th			18.2%	18.2%
MA- 9	Bill Keating* Dan Sullivan
MD- 1	Andrew Harris		2011	7th			11.3%	14.5%
MD- 1	Blane Miller Andy Harris*
MD- 2	C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger		2003	11th			18.6%	20.8%
MD- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Johnny Olszewski Kimberly Klacik
MD- 3	John Sarbanes		2007	9th			20.5%	25.5%
MD- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Sarah Elfreth Robert Steinberger
MD- 4	Glenn Ivey		2023	1st			80.5%	81.0%
MD- 4	Glenn Ivey* George McDermott
MD- 5	Steny Hoyer		1981	22nd			32.0%	36.5%
MD- 5	Steny Hoyer* Michelle Talkington
MD- 7	Kweisi Mfume		2020	3rd			64.4%	63.5%
MD- 7	Kweisi Mfume* Scott Collier
MD- 8	Jamie Raskin		2017	4th			62.0%	62.6%
MD- 8	Jamie Raskin* Cheryl Riley
ME- 1	Chellie Pingree		2009	8th			25.9%	22.8%
ME- 1	Chellie Pingree* Ronald Russell
MI- 1	Jack Bergman		2017	4th			22.6%	19.8%
MI- 1	Callie Barr Jack Bergman*
MI- 2	John Moolenaar		2015	5th			29.4%	28.2%
MI- 2	Michael Lynch John Moolenaar*
MI- 4	Bill Huizenga		2011	7th			11.9%	3.9%
MI- 4	Jessica Swartz Bill Huizenga*
MI- 5	Tim Walberg		2011	7th			27.5%	24.2%
MI- 5	Libbi Urban Tim Walberg*
MI- 6	Debbie Dingell		2015	5th			31.8%	26.7%
MI- 6	Debbie Dingell* Heather Smiley
MI- 9	Lisa McClain		2021	2nd			30.7%	29.5%
MI- 9	Clinton St. Mosley Lisa McClain*
MI- 11	Haley Stevens		2019	3rd			22.6%	19.8%
MI- 11	Haley Stevens* Nick Somberg
MI- 12	Rashida Tlaib		2019	3rd			44.6%	48.5%
MI- 12	Rashida Tlaib* James Hooper
MI- 13	Shri Thanedar		2023	1st			47.1%	49.6%
MI- 13	Shri Thanedar* Martell Bivings
MN- 1	Brad Finstad		2022	2nd			11.5%	9.2%
MN- 1	Rachel Bohman Brad Finstad*
MN- 3	Dean Phillips		2019	3rd			19.2%	21.0%
MN- 3	Retiring to run for President Kelly Morrison Tad Jude
MN- 4	Betty McCollum		2001	12th			35.3%	37.6%
MN- 4	Betty McCollum* May Lor Xiong
MN- 5	Ilhan Omar		2019	3rd			49.8%	63.1%
MN- 5	Ilhan Omar* Dalia Al-Aqidi
MN- 6	Tom Emmer		2015	5th			24.2%	17.6%
MN- 6	Jeanne Hendricks Tom Emmer*
MN- 7	Michelle Fischbach		2021	2nd			39.3%	33.2%
MN- 7	A.J. Peters Michelle Fischbach*
MN- 8	Pete Stauber		2019	3rd			14.5%	11.3%
MN- 8	Jen Schultz Pete Stauber*
MO- 1	Cori Bush		2021	2nd			48.6%	58.4%
MO- 1	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2024 election. Wesley Bell Andrew Jones
MO- 3	Blaine Luetkemeyer		2009	8th			30.2%	26.3%
MO- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Bethany Mann Bob Onder
MO- 4	Mark Alford		2023	1st			45.0%	39.3%
MO- 4	Jeanette Cass Mark Alford*
MO- 5	Emanuel Cleaver		2005	10th			24.6%	26.3%
MO- 5	Emanuel Cleaver* Sean Smith
MO- 6	Sam Graves		2001	12th			42.8%	37.1%
MO- 6	Pam May Sam Graves*
MO- 7	Eric Burlison		2023	1st			44.1%	41.4%
MO- 7	Missi Hesketh Eric Burlison*
MO- 8	Jason Smith		2013	6th			54.1%	51.3%
MO- 8	Randi McCallian Jason Smith*
MS- 1	Trent Kelly		2015	5th			45.9%	31.7%
MS- 1	Dianne Black Trent Kelly*
MS- 2	Bennie Thompson		1993	16th			20.2%	26.1%
MS- 2	Bennie Thompson* Ron Eller
MS- 3	Michael Guest		2019	3rd			41.5%	24.3%
MS- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
MS- 4	Mike Ezell		2023	1st			48.8%	38.0%
MS- 4	Craig Raybon Mike Ezell*
MT- 2	Matt Rosendale		2021	2nd			36.4%	26.8%
MT- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. John Driscoll Troy Downing
NC- 2	Deborah Ross		2021	2nd			N/A	35.3%
NC- 2	Deborah Ross* Alan Swain
NC- 3	Greg Murphy		2019	3rd			N/A	17.3%
NC- 3	Greg Murphy* Gheorghe Cormos
NC- 4	Valerie Foushee		2023	1st			N/A	46.2%
NC- 4	Valerie Foushee* Eric Blankenburg
NC- 5	Virginia Foxx		2005	10th			N/A	15.4%
NC- 5	Chuck Hubbard Virginia Foxx*
NC- 7	David Rouzer		2015	5th			N/A	11.0%
NC- 7	Marlando Pridgen David Rouzer*
NC- 8	Dan Bishop		2019	3rd			N/A	17.8%
NC- 8	Retiring to run for NC Attorney General Justin Dues Mark Harris
NC- 9	Richard Hudson		2013	6th			N/A	13.9%
NC- 9	Nigel Bristow Richard Hudson*
NC- 10	Patrick McHenry		2005	10th			N/A	16.1%
NC- 10	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Ralph Scott Jr. Pat Harrigan
NC- 11	Chuck Edwards		2023	1st			N/A	11.0%
NC- 11	Caleb Rudow Chuck Edwards*
NC- 12	Alma Adams		2014	6th			N/A	50.2%
NC- 12	Alma Adams* Addul Ali
ND- AL	Kelly Armstrong		2019	3rd			24.6% ⁺	33.5%
ND- AL	Retiring to run for Governor of North Dakota Trygve Hammer Julie Fedorchak
NE- 1	Mike Flood		2022	2nd			15.8%	11.1%
NE- 1	Carol Blood Mike Flood*
NE- 3	Adrian Smith		2007	9th			62.5%	51.8%
NE- 3	Daniel Ebers Adrian Smith*
NJ- 1	Donald Norcross		2014	6th			27.1%	24.4%
NJ- 1	Donald Norcross* Theodore Liddell
NJ- 2	Jeff Van Drew		2019	3rd			18.9%	4.9%
NJ- 2	Joseph Salerno Jeff Van Drew*
NJ- 3	Andy Kim		2019	3rd			11.8%	14.0%
NJ- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Herb Conaway Rajesh Mohan
NJ- 4	Chris Smith		1981	22nd			35.6%	22.4%
NJ- 4	Matthew Jenkins Christopher Smith*
NJ- 5	Josh Gottheimer		2017	4th			10.4%	12.4%
NJ- 5	Josh Gottheimer* Mary Jo Guinchard
NJ- 6	Frank Pallone		1988	19th			16.4%	19.2%
NJ- 6	Frank Pallone* Scott Fegler
NJ- 8	Robert Menendez		2023	1st			48.7%	45.3%
NJ- 8	Rob Menendez* Anthony Valdes
NJ- 9	OPEN						11.3%	18.9%
NJ- 9	Rep. Bill Pascrell (D) died August 21 Nellie Pou Billy Prempeh
NJ- 10	LaMonica McIver		2024	1st			57.5%	62.0%
NJ- 10	LaMonica McIver* Carmen Bucco
NJ- 11	Mikie Sherrill		2019	3rd			18.8%	16.9%
NJ- 11	Mikie Sherrill* Joseph Belnome
NJ- 12	Bonnie Coleman		2015	5th			27.2%	34.4%
NJ- 12	Bonnie Watson Coleman* Darius Mayfield
NM- 1	Melanie Stansbury		2021	2nd			11.5%	14.4%
NM- 1	Melanie Stansbury* Steve Jones
NM- 3	Teresa Leger Fernandez		2021	2nd			16.3%	10.8%
NM- 3	Teresa Leger Fernandez* Sharon Clahchischilliage
NV- 2	Marc Amodei		2011	7th			21.9%	11.0%
NV- 2	Mark Amodei* Greg Kidd
NY- 2	Andrew Garbarino		2021	2nd			N/A	2.4%
NY- 2	Rob Lubin Andrew Garbarino*
NY- 5	Gregory Meeks		1998	14th			N/A	62.4%
NY- 5	Gregory Meeks* Paul King
NY- 6	Grace Meng		2013	6th			N/A	29.4%
NY- 6	Grace Meng* Thomas Zmich
NY- 7	Nydia Velazquez		1993	16th			N/A	60.5%
NY- 7	Nydia Velazquez* Bill Kregler
NY- 8	Hakeem Jeffries		2013	6th			N/A	55.5%
NY- 8	Hakeem Jeffries* John Delaney
NY- 9	Yvette Clarke		2007	9th			N/A	52.1%
NY- 9	Yvette Clarke* Menachem Raitport
NY- 10	Dan Goldman		2023	1st			N/A	70.8%
NY- 10	Dan Goldman* Alexander Dodenhoff
NY- 11	Nicole Malliotakis		2021	2nd			N/A	7.6%
NY- 11	Andrea Morse Nicole Malliotakis*
NY- 12	Jerrold Nadler		1992	17th			N/A	71.4%
NY- 12	Jerrold Nadler* Michael Zumbluskas
NY- 13	Adriano Espaillat		2017	4th			N/A	77.0%
NY- 13	Adriano Espaillat* Ruben Vargas
NY- 14	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez		2019	3rd			N/A	55.2%
NY- 14	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez* Tina Forte
NY- 15	Ritchie Torres		2021	2nd			N/A	70.5%
NY- 15	Ritchie Torres* Gonzalo Duran
NY- 16	Jamaal Bowman		2021	2nd			N/A	44.6%
NY- 16	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2024 election. George Latimer Miriam Flisser
NY- 20	Paul Tonko		2009	8th			N/A	19.2%
NY- 20	Paul Tonko* Kevin Waltz
NY- 21	Elise Stefanik		2015	5th			N/A	15.7%
NY- 21	Paula Collins Elise Stefanik*
NY- 23	Nick Langworthy		2023	1st			N/A	18.2%
NY- 23	Thomas Carle Nick Langworthy*
NY- 24	Claudia Tenney		2021	2nd			N/A	20.3%
NY- 24	David Wagenhauser Claudia Tenney*
NY- 25	Joseph Morelle		2018	4th			N/A	20.6%
NY- 25	Joseph Morelle* Gregg Sadwick
NY- 26	Tim Kennedy		2024	1st			N/A	25.1%
NY- 26	Timothy Kennedy* Anthony Marecki
OH- 2	Brad Wenstrup		2013	6th			49.0%	45.4%
OH- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Samantha Meadows David Taylor
OH- 3	Joyce Beatty		2013	6th			40.9%	43.8%
OH- 3	Joyce Beatty* Michael Young
OH- 4	Jim Jordan		2007	9th			38.3%	35.7%
OH- 4	Tamie Wilson Jim Jordan*
OH- 5	Bob Latta		2007	9th			33.8%	26.8%
OH- 5	Keith Mundy Bob Latta*
OH- 6	Michael Rulli		2024	1st			35.4%	28.7%
OH- 6	Michael Kripchak Michael Rulli
OH- 7	Max Miller		2023	1st			10.7%	9.2%
OH- 7	Matt Diemer Max Miller*
OH- 8	Warren Davidson		2016	5th			29.3%	22.0%
OH- 8	Vanessa Enoch Warren Davidson*
OH- 10	Michael Turner		2003	11th			23.3%	3.5%
OH- 10	Amy Cox Mike Turner*
OH- 11	Shontel Brown		2021	2nd			55.5%	57.6%
OH- 11	Shontel Brown* Alan Rapoport
OH- 12	Troy Balderson		2018	4th			38.5%	30.9%
OH- 12	Jerrad Christian Troy Balderson*
OH- 14	David Joyce		2013	6th			23.5%	14.9%
OH- 14	Brian Kenderes David Joyce*
OH- 15	Mike Carey		2021	2nd			13.9%	6.8%
OH- 15	Adam Miller Mike Carey*
OK- 1	Kevin Hern		2018	4th			26.5%	21.4%
OK- 1	Dennis Baker Kevin Hern*
OK- 2	Josh Brecheen		2023	1st			49.1%	53.4%
OK- 2	Brandon Wade Josh Brecheen*
OK- 3	Frank Lucas		1994	16th			49.1%	44.6%
OK- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
OK- 4	Tom Cole		2003	11th			33.5%	31.6%
OK- 4	Mary Brannon Tom Cole*
OK- 5	Stephanie Bice		2021	2nd			21.6%	16.9%
OK- 5	Madison Horn Stephanie Bice*
OR- 1	Suzanne Bonamici		2012	7th			36.0%	39.3%
OR- 1	Suzanne Bonamici* Bob Todd
OR- 2	Cliff Bentz		2021	2nd			35.2%	24.4%
OR- 2	Dan Ruby Cliff Bentz*
OR- 3	Earl Blumenauer		1996	15th			43.6%	47.3%
OR- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Maxine Dexter Joanna Harbour
PA- 2	Brendan Boyle		2015	5th			51.3%	42.7%
PA- 2	Brendan Boyle* Aaron Bashir
PA- 3	Dwight Evans		2016	5th			90.3% ⁺	80.9%
PA- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
PA- 4	Madeleine Dean		2019	3rd			22.6%	18.9%
PA- 4	Madeleine Dean* David Winkler
PA- 5	Mary Gay Scanlon		2018	4th			30.2%	32.3%
PA- 5	Mary Gay Scanlon* Alfeia Goodwin
PA- 6	Chrissy Houlahan		2019	3rd			16.6%	14.7%
PA- 6	Chrissy Houlahan* Neil Young
PA- 9	Dan Meuser		2019	3rd			38.6%	36.5%
PA- 9	Amanda Waldman Dan Meuser*
PA- 11	Lloyd Smucker		2017	4th			23.1%	21.3%
PA- 11	Jim Atkinson Lloyd Smucker*
PA- 12	Summer Lee		2023	1st			12.4%	19.9%
PA- 12	Summer Lee* James Hayes
PA- 13	John Joyce		2019	3rd			^*	45.2%
PA- 13	Beth Farnham John Joyce*
PA- 14	Guy Reschenthaler		2019	3rd			^*	31.5%
PA- 14	Chris Dziados Guy Reschenthaler*
PA- 15	Glenn Thompson		2009	8th			39.9%	37.0%
PA- 15	Zach Womer Glenn Thompson*
PA- 16	Mike Kelly		2011	7th			18.7%	20.6%
PA- 16	Preston Nouri Mike Kelly*
RI- 1	Gabe Amo		2023	1st			28.2%	29.1%
RI- 1	Gabe Amo* Allen Waters
RI- 2	Seth Magaziner		2023	1st			3.7%	13.7%
RI- 2	Seth Magaziner* Steven Corvi
SC- 1	Nancy Mace		2021	2nd			13.9%	8.6%
SC- 1	Michael Moore Nancy Mace*
SC- 2	Joe Wilson		2001	12th			20.2%	10.6%
SC- 2	David Robinson Joe Wilson*
SC- 3	Jeff Duncan		2011	7th			^*	37.5%
SC- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Bryon Best Sheri Biggs
SC- 4	William Timmons		2019	3rd			^*	18.5%
SC- 4	Kathryn Harvey William Timmons*
SC- 5	Ralph Norman		2017	4th			29.6%	18.2%
SC- 5	Evangeline Hundley Ralph Norman*
SC- 6	James Clyburn		1993	16th			24.2%	32.1%
SC- 6	James Clyburn* Duke Buckner
SC- 7	Russell Fry		2023	1st			29.7%	18.7%
SC- 7	Mal Hyman Russell Fry*
SD- AL	Dusty Johnson		2019	3rd			54.8% ⁺	26.2%
SD- AL	Sheryl Johnson Dusty Johnson*
TN- 1	Diana Harshbarger		2021	2nd			58.6%	54.2%
TN- 1	Kevin Jenkins Diana Harshbarger*
TN- 2	Tim Burchett		2019	3rd			35.8%	29.2%
TN- 2	Jane George Tim Burchett*
TN- 3	Chuck Fleischmann		2011	7th			38.1%	31.9%
TN- 3	Jack Allen Chuck Fleischmann*
TN- 4	Scott DesJarlais		2011	7th			44.8%	37.7%
TN- 4	Victoria Broderick Scott DesJarlais*
TN- 6	John Rose		2019	3rd			32.7%	29.1%
TN- 6	Lore Bergman John Rose*
TN- 7	Mark Green		2019	3rd			21.8%	15.1%
TN- 7	Megan Barry Mark Green*
TN- 8	David Kustoff		2017	4th			49.7%	37.3%
TN- 8	Sarah Freeman David Kustoff*
TN- 9	Steve Cohen		2007	9th			43.8%	48.1%
TN- 9	Steve Cohen Charlotte Bergmann
TX- 1	Nathaniel Moran		2023	1st			56.2%	45.9%
TX- 1	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 2	Dan Crenshaw		2019	3rd			31.8%	22.8%
TX- 2	Peter Filler Dan Crenshaw*
TX- 3	Keith Self		2023	1st			23.6%	14.4%
TX- 3	Sandeep Srivastava Keith Self*
TX- 4	Pat Fallon		2021	2nd			35.8%	26.0%
TX- 4	Simon Cardell Pat Fallon*
TX- 5	Lance Gooden		2019	3rd			30.0%	22.4%
TX- 5	Ruth Torres Lance Gooden*
TX- 6	Jake Ellzey		2021	2nd			^*	24.0%
TX- 6	John Love Jake Ellzey*
TX- 7	Lizzie Fletcher		2019	3rd			27.6%	29.7%
TX- 7	Lizzie Fletcher* Caroline Kane
TX- 8	Morgan Luttrell		2023	1st			37.5%	27.2%
TX- 8	Laura Jones Morgan Luttrell*
TX- 9	Al Green		2005	10th			53.4%	53.4%
TX- 9	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 10	Michael McCaul		2005	10th			29.0%	18.8%
TX- 10	Theresa Boisseau Michael McCaul*
TX- 11	August Pfluger		2021	2nd			^*	40.4%
TX- 11	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 12	Kay Granger		1997	14th			28.5%	18.1%
TX- 12	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Trey Hunt Craig Goldman
TX- 13	Ronny Jackson		2021	2nd			50.7%	45.5%
TX- 13	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 14	Randy Weber		2013	6th			40.3%	28.5%
TX- 14	Rhonda Hart Randy Weber*
TX- 16	Veronica Escobar		2019	3rd			26.9%	35.4%
TX- 16	Veronica Escobar* Irene Armendariz-Jackson
TX- 17	Pete Sessions		2021	2nd			33.0%	22.5%
TX- 17	Mark Lorenzen Pete Sessions*
TX- 18	OPEN						44.5%	48.6%
TX- 18	Sylvester Turner Lana Centonze
TX- 19	Jodey Arrington		2017	4th			70.6% ⁺	46.2%
TX- 19	Jodey Arrington* Bernard Johnson
TX- 20	Joaquin Castro		2013	6th			36.9%	33.1%
TX- 20	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 21	Chip Roy		2019	3rd			25.7%	19.7%
TX- 21	Kristin Hook Chip Roy*
TX- 22	Troy Nehls		2021	2nd			26.7%	16.0%
TX- 22	Marquette Greene-Scott Troy Nehls*
TX- 23	Tony Gonzales		2021	2nd			17.1%	7.2%
TX- 23	Santos Limon Tony Gonzales*
TX- 24	Beth Van Duyne		2021	2nd			19.5%	12.3%
TX- 24	Sam Eppler Beth Van Duyne*
TX- 25	Roger Williams		2013	6th			^*	31.2%
TX- 25	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 26	Michael Burgess		2003	11th			38.6% ⁺	18.5%
TX- 26	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Ernest Lineberger Brandon Gill
TX- 27	Michael Cloud		2018	4th			28.9%	22.4%
TX- 27	Tanya Lloyd Michael Cloud*
TX- 29	Sylvia Garcia		2019	3rd			42.8%	36.7%
TX- 29	Sylvia Garcia* Alan Garza
TX- 30	Jasmine Crockett		2023	1st			53.0%	56.7%
TX- 30	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 31	John Carter		2003	11th			^*	20.3%
TX- 31	Stuart Whitlow John Carter*
TX- 32	Colin Allred		2019	3rd			30.7%	33.0%
TX- 32	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Julie Johnson Darrell Day
TX- 33	Marc Veasey		2013	6th			46.4%	49.9%
TX- 33	Marc Veasey* Patrick Gillespie
TX- 35	Greg Casar		2023	1st			45.2%	45.2%
TX- 35	Greg Casar* Steven Wright
TX- 36	Brian Babin		2015	5th			38.9%	31.6%
TX- 36	Dayna Steele Brian Babin*
TX- 37	Lloyd Doggett		1995	15th			55.8%	52.8%
TX- 37	Lloyd Doggett* Jenny Garcia Sharon
TX- 38	Wesley Hunt		2023	1st			27.4%	18.1%
TX- 38	Melissa McDonough Wesley Hunt*
UT- 1	Blake Moore		2021	2nd			33.9%	19.9%
UT- 1	Bill Campbell Blake Moore*
UT- 2	Celeste Maloy		2023	1st			25.7%	17.1%
UT- 2	Nathaniel Woodward Celeste Maloy*
UT- 3	John Curtis		2017	4th			34.9%	19.2%
UT- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Glenn Wright Mike Kennedy*
UT- 4	Burgess Owens		2021	2nd			28.7%	25.9%
UT- 4	Katrina Fallick-Wang Burgess Owens*
VA- 1	Rob Wittman		2007	9th			13.0%	6.2%
VA- 1	Leslie Mehta Rob Wittman*
VA- 3	Bobby Scott		1993	16th			34.6%	38.4%
VA- 3	Bobby Scott* John Sitka
VA- 4	Jennifer McClellan		2023	1st			30.0%	35.7%
VA- 4	Jennifer McClellan* Bill Moher
VA- 5	Bob Good		2021	2nd			15.3%	8.3%
VA- 5	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2024 election. Gloria Witt John McGuire
VA- 6	Ben Cline		2019	3rd			29.0%	21.5%
VA- 6	Ken Mitchell Ben Cline*
VA- 8	Don Beyer		2015	5th			48.8%	56.0%
VA- 8	Don Beyer* Jerry Torres
VA- 9	Morgan Griffith		2011	7th			46.7%	41.9%
VA- 9	Karen Baker Morgan Griffith*
VA- 10	Jennifer Wexton		2019	3rd			6.5%	18.1%
VA- 10	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Suhas Subramanyam Mike Clancy
VA- 11	Gerry Connolly		2009	8th			33.7%	41.3%
VA- 11	Gerry Connolly* Mike Van Meter
VT- AL	Becca Balint		2023	1st			33.6%	35.6%
VT- AL	Becca Balint* Mark Coester
WA- 1	Suzan DelBene		2012	7th			27.1%	30.6%
WA- 1	Suzan DelBene* Jeb Brewer
WA- 2	Rick Larsen		2001	12th			20.3%	22.9%
WA- 2	Rick Larsen* Cody Hart
WA- 4	Dan Newhouse		2015	5th			35.3%	17.0%
WA- 4	Dan Newhouse* Jerrod Sessler
WA- 5	Cathy McMorris Rodgers		2005	10th			19.3%	10.0%
WA- 5	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Carmela Conroy Michael Baumgartner
WA- 6	Derek Kilmer		2013	6th			20.1%	17.2%
WA- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Emily Randall Drew MacEwen
WA- 7	Pramila Jayapal		2017	4th			71.2%	75.5%
WA- 7	Pramila Jayapal* Dan Alexander
WA- 9	Adam Smith		1997	14th			43.4%	45.2%
WA- 9	Melissa Chaudhry Adam Smith*
WA- 10	Marilyn Strickland		2021	2nd			14.1%	17.7%
WA- 10	Marilyn Strickland* Don Hewett
WI- 2	Mark Pocan		2013	6th			44.1%	41.8%
WI- 2	Mark Pocan* Erik Olsen
WI- 4	Gwen Moore		2005	10th			52.7%	53.1%
WI- 4	Gwen Moore* Tim Rogers
WI- 5	Scott Fitzgerald		2021	2nd			28.8%	22.9%
WI- 5	Ben Steinhoff Scott Fitzgerald*
WI- 6	Glenn Grothman		2015	5th			^*	15.7%
WI- 6	John Zarbano Glenn Grothman*
WI- 7	Tom Tiffany		2020	3rd			23.8%	20.0%
WI- 7	Kyle Kilbourn Tom Tiffany*
WI- 8	OPEN						56.5% ⁺	15.5%
WI- 8	Kristin Lyerly Tony Wied
WV- 1	Carol Miller		2019	3rd			37.9%	40.9%
WV- 1	Chris Reed Carol Miller*
WV- 2	Alex Mooney		2015	5th			31.1%	37.0%
WV- 2	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Steve Wendelin Riley Moore
WY- AL	Harriet Hageman		2023	1st			43.8%	43.7%
WY- AL	Kyle Cameron Harriet Hageman*

(a) Source: 270toWin research.
Aside from these exceptions, the margin is the difference between the Democratic and Republican nominee in the 2022 general election.
Exception types: ^* Uncontested | ⁺ No major party opposition | ^{^} Both nominees from same party | ^x All-party primary | ^y Ranked choice tabulation

(b) Source: Daily Kos. The margin is the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, based on congressional district boundaries in use for the 2024 election. Where there has been redistricting, the 2022 boundaries are used in the Current House tab.

538 Forecast: 2024 House Election

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